Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Mavericks NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Mavericks on Thursday, March 7th, 2024 at the American Airlines Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat Mavericks matchup.
2024 NBA Handicapping Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks
(35-26) Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks (34-28)
Date: Thursday, March 7th
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
Moneyline NBA Odds: Heat +165| Mavericks -195 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Mavericks -4.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 230.5
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The Miami Heat travel to Texas to play the Dallas Mavericks for the first of two regular season matches. Miami will host the second meeting on April 10th.
Both teams last played on Tuesday with the Heat defeating the Pistons 118-110 while Dallas lost 127-137 to the Pacers.
Season Series
Last season, the squads played twice with each team winning on their home court. The Heat holds the all-time record having bested the Mavericks in 38 of their 73 matches.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, on Wednesday, March 6th. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Thursday, March 7th.
Miami Heat
Heat Culture is shining through as the team seemingly flipped a switch coming back from the break going 5-1 in their initial six matches.
Home court seeding feels within reach as Miami moved up to sixth but is just a half-game back of fifth and the struggling Knicks and a 1.0 game back of the Magic for fourth.
No team wants to face Miami in the playoffs — even the Celtics who have past nightmares to draw upon!
Heat Stats
Miami ranks 21st offensively (113.5), and eighth defensively (112.7) with a plus net differential of +0.9 which ranks 15th overall.
The Heat performs in the middle ground against the spread with a 30-30-1 record through 61 matches.
Heat Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Kevin Love, PF (downgraded to OUT Thursday — heel)
- Josh Richardson, SG (OUT for season— shoulder)
- Tyler Herro, SG (downgraded to OUT— knee)
- Dru Smith, SG (OUT for the season — knee)
- Caleb Martin, SG (probable— thumb)
Dallas Mavericks
After the additions at the trade deadline, the Mavericks looked poised to move up the ladder and were sitting in a playoff seed. But, since returning from the break they are 2-5, and the defense that looked bolstered just as quickly seems broken again as they’ve fallen to eighth.
Luka Doncic can win a game all on his own but the Mavs need to figure out how to share the ball more and involve everyone to entice them to commit on the defensive end.
Mavericks Stats
Dallas ranks seventh offensively (117.6) and 23rd in defensive rating (117.3) with a net differential of plus +0.3 which ranks 17th overall.
Like their opponent, the Mavericks perform in the middle ground against the spread with a 32-30 record through 62 contests this season.
Mavericks Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Luca Doncic, PG (probable — knee)
- Maxi Kleber, PF (probable — ankle)
NBA Bettors we want to hear from you. Comment below. Give us your Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA picks!
Heat vs. Mavericks NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami’s last 15 games.
- Also, the Heat are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
- By comparison, Dallas is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’ last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Mavericks are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
Free Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Prediction:
It feels like a must-win for Dallas who’ve been reeling but the Heat are on a roll looking like the team who built momentum down the stretch and into the playoffs all the way to the finals last year.
Both teams reside in the easier closing schedules tier with the fourth (Heat) and seventh (Mavericks) easiest itineraries to finish the year.
As much as I find it hard to bet against the Heat, I’m leaning toward the Mavs who need this win more. Still, I’m expecting a close game so I’ll take the points.
4* Free Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Pick: Heat +4.5
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
The aura of the Dallas Mavericks >>>>#MFFL pic.twitter.com/JuRtXGuCyC
— Abby Jones (@_abigaiiiil) February 29, 2024
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