Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Hawks NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Hawks on Friday, April 18th at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat Hawks matchup.
2025 NBA Play-In Handicapping Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks
(38-45) Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks (40-43)
Date: Friday, April 18th
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta
Moneyline NBA Odds: Heat -110 | Hawks -110 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Hawks -1
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 219
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On Friday, April 18th, the last games of the Play-In occur as the Miami Heat face the Atlanta Hawks to determine the East’s final playoff seed. This season, the teams split their four-game series.
Miami arrives having spanked the Bulls 109-90, whereas the Hawks got to this point after getting routed 95-120 by the Magic.
Season Series
Last season, the squads played four times, with the Heat taking the series three games to one, and Miami also holds the all-time record, having bested the Hawks in 81 of their 142 matches.
Miami Heat
It’s still confounding to me that Erik Spoelstra has never won Coach of the Year, given his credentials and ability to game plan. His Heat are always ready come playoff time, and their win versus the Bulls was a perfect example of Spo’s prowess.
He’ll have his charges ready to roll for this matchup, and the players are just so used to being underdogs, nothing will phase them – – even collecting a win to face the deep Cavaliers.
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Heat Stats
The Miami Heat ranks 21st offensively (112.4), and ninth defensively (112.0) while possessing the 16th-ranked net differential of plus +0.4.
The Heat’s performance against the spread is 39-43-1 through 83 matches.
Heat Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Dru Smith, G (OUT indefinitely — Achilles)
- Nikola Jovic, SF (questionable — lower leg)
- Isaiah Stevens, G (OUT — ineligible for playoffs)
- Kevin Love, PF (OUT — personal)
Atlanta Hawks
Trae Young had a rough night against the Magic, exiting the game on an ejection after he let his emotions take over. He’ll need to be much better in this matchup if he wants to extend the Hawks’ season.
The problem is the Heat are one of the better playoff defenses, and for sure, Spoelstra will have designed a specific game plan to limit the diminutive guard.
Hawks Stats
This season, the Hawks rank 17th offensively (113.7), and 18th defensively (114.8) while possessing the 18th-ranked net differential of minus -1.1.
Atlanta’s performance against the spread is 41-41-1 record through 83 matches.
Hawks Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Clint Capela, C (OUT — hand)
- Larry Nance Jr., PF (OUT indefinitely — knee)
- Jalen Johnson, SF (OUT for season— torn labrum)
- Kobe Bufkin, PG (OUT indefinitely — shoulder)
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Heat vs. Hawks NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Heat are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games.
- Also, the Heat are 9-4 SU in their previous 13 games.
- By comparison, the Hawks are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta’s last 16 games.
- Additionally, Atlanta is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing as the favourite.
Free NBA Prediction
This matchup will come down to an offensive Hawks club facing a defensive Heat squad, and the team that performs better at their strength will be the winner, advancing.
Both coaches have extensive playoff experience, but ultimately, I’m rolling with the underdog Heat to have the better game plan and play to their identity.
4* Free Heat vs. Hawks NBA Betting Pick: Heat +1
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
TYLER HERRO TAKES OVER, HEAT KEEP SEASON ALIVE 🙌
🔥 38 PTS (23 in 1st half)
🔥 68.4 FG% (13-19 from field)Miami will take on Atlanta Friday at 7pm/et on TNT… winner gets the 8 seed in the East! pic.twitter.com/oPARGl6N81
— NBA (@NBA) April 17, 2025
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