Free NBA Pick: Lakers vs Mavericks NBA Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Lakers taking on the Mavs on Tuesday, March 7, 2017 at American Airlines Arena in Dallas, Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions.
(19-44) Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks (26-36)
Date: Tuesday, March 7
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Arena – Dallas, Texas
NBA Moneyline Odds: Off
NBA Betting Odds: Dallas -10
NBA Betting Total: 205
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The Dallas Mavericks and Los Angeles Lakers both looked like two of the worst teams in the Western Conference to start the 2016-17 NBA season.
Since then, the Mavs have jumped back into contention for the eighth spot out West, while the Lakers are focus on maximizing ping-pong balls come June.
For context, if the Lakers fall out of the top three in terms of draft picks, they lose not just this year’s pick to the Philadelphia 76ers, but they lose next year’s pick as well.
The Lakers have every incentive to lose and the Mavs have every incentive to win, which is telling when it comes to predicting the outcome of this contest.
The catch is that the spread is set to double digits, meaning we must ask ourselves if the difference between these two is at least 10 points worth as they both stand today.
*All statistics, standings, records, rankings and trends are current as of this writing at 7:00 p.m. ET on Monday, March 6, 2017.
Los Angeles Lakers
The Los Angeles Lakers enter this contest with a bad losing streak on their hands. They’ve dropped their last seven contests by an average margin of 15.4 points per night.
That net margin falls between Feb. 10 and March 6 and is the worst in the NBA by a long shot during that stretch.
On the year, Los Angeles is scoring 103.9 points per game. That number is good enough for 19th in the league.
Defensively, this squad is allowing opponents to score 110.8 points per night. That number puts them at 27th in the Association.
But if you think those numbers are bad (or even if you think they’re misleading), we have to come back to the recent stretch of losses. Because since Feb. 10, this group’s offensive rating has fallen to dead last and its defensive rating isn’t much better at 28th.
The team’s most recent outing was a 105-97 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans, so if you’re looking for what this Lakers squad might do against a team with a comparable record, that might be your best example.
The Dallas Mavericks enter this game scoring 97.9 points per game. That number is the worst in the NBA.
Defensively, this squad gives up 99.7 points per night. That number is the league’s third-best, but it has more to do with the team’s pace and less about its defensive potency.
The Mavs have encountered some recent success with two straight wins. Even better is that those two wins are part of a longer stretch where the team has won four of five.
The playoffs are still a bit of a long shot with teams like the Denver Nuggets, Portland Trail Blazers, Minnesota Timberwolves and New Orleans Pelicans all chasing the same eighth seed, but as long as this group is mathematically eligible, it’s going to fight.
Owner Mark Cuban made that clear early in the year when he said tanking is not an option.
It seemed silly at the time, but that motto has proven beneficial.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Lakers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
- Lakers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Lakers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Free Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Prediction:
Recent trends indicate that the Lakers have a good shot at not just dropping this one, but dropping it by more than the 10 points set in the line.
But as confident as we are that the Mavs will win, we just can’t trust them and their anemic offense to pull off a double-digit win.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Lakers ATS
Give this one to the Mavericks, but expecting the victory to be by at least 10 points is asking a bit much.
NBA Free Score Prediction: Dallas Mavericks 103 – Lakers 98
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