Free Pick: Rockets vs. Hawks Odds
Looking for Houston Rockets vs. Atlanta Hawks Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Rockets taking on the Hawks on 1/29 at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Rockets Hawks free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks
(28-16) Houston Rockets vs. Atlanta Hawks (23-25)
Date: Jan 29, 2026
Time: 8:o0 PM ET
Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
NBA Moneyline Odds: Rockets -155 | Hawks +140 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Rockets -3.5 | Hawks +3.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 224.5
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog Atlanta as per below, in my Rockets Hawks free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Rockets vs. Hawks Gameday
On Thursday, the NBA offers an eight-game slate, including the Houston Rockets facing the Atlanta Hawks.
Houston will be playing a back-to-back set, having lost to the Spurs 99-111 on Wednesday. Four Rockets scored in double digits, led by Amen Thompson with 25 points, while Alperen Sengun registered a double-double of 18 points and 10 rebounds, plus seven assists and two steals.
Atlanta is also completing a back-to-back set after defeating the Boston Celtics 117-106 to extend their win streak to four games in a row. All five starters plus a reserve scored in double figures, led by Nickeil Alexander-Walker with 21 points. Jalen Johnson registered a double-double of 17 points and 14 rebounds, plus seven assists.
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2026 NBA Basketball Handicapping
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Houston Rockets vs. Atlanta Hawks Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last season, the Rockets swept the two-game series, while this is the team’s first meeting of the 2025-26 campaign.
Houston sits fourth in the West with a 28-17 record. Through the last five matches, the Rockets are 3-2 as they held court at home. On the road, Houston’s struggles are apparent in its 12-13 record.
Atlanta sits in the ninth seed in the East with a 24-25 record, but has been on a heater, winning four consecutive games. The Hawks have performed better on the road (15-12) than they have at home (9-13), where this match takes place. After this game, the Hawks will hit the road for five of their next seven contests.
Houston is the favorite to win with a 3.5 point spread and an over/under of 224.5
Rockets Stats
With 45 games in the pocket, Houston ranks fourth overall (118.0) on offense and eighth on defense (112.3). Additionally, the Rockets hold the fourth-ranked net rating (+5.8) and run the 27th slowest pace (96.93).
The West’s fourth seed averages 116.3 points per game, while its opponents average 110.5 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Houston averages 24.9 (tied for 23rd) and 48.9 (1st), respectively.
Team leaders are Kevin Durant for scoring (26.4) and blocks (1.0), while Alperen Sengun leads for assists (6.4), rebounds (9.0), and steals (1.5).
Perimeter shooting is a major advantage for Houston, which shoots the deep ball at an average of 36.9%. Seven different players average between 36.8% and 47.4%.
*Minimum 10 games played
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Hawks Stats
With 49 games in the well, the Hawks rank 20th (113.7) on offense and tied for 15th on defense (114.3). Additionally, Atlanta is 18th in net rating (-0.7) and runs the second quickest pace (103.12).
The East’s ninth seed averages 117.7 points per game, while their opponents average 118.4 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Atlanta averages 31.0 (first) and 42.1 (25th), respectively.
Team leaders* in key categories for Atlanta feature Jalen Johnson for scoring (22.9 points), rebounding (10.5), and assists (7.9), while Dyson Daniels is the top steal man (1.9) and Kristaps Porzingis (1.3) for blocks.
Eight Hawks shoot 36.0% or better from the perimeter while the team as a whole shoots 37.3%.
*Minimum 10 games played
Houston Rockets vs. Atlanta Hawks bottom line:
Atlanta has hit a groove since trading Trae Young, finding better chemistry and more cohesiveness on and off the court. While their offense has slightly slipped, their defense has improved, which is reflected in their overall stat ratings.
Houston Rockets vs. Atlanta Hawks Basketball Betting Trends
- Houston is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston’s last 8 games.
- Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
- Also, Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta’s last 15 games.
- Additionally, Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home.
Rockets Hawks Free Pick: Hawks +3.5
Here is my Rockets Hawks free pick.
Jalen Johnson has easily slipped into the role of team leader and is likely going to make his first All-Star Game with his strong production across all levels of the stats.
Alexander-Walker is having a career season and showing off how well the family performs (he’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s cousin) at this level.
We’ll learn on Thursday which players the coaches have tapped to become All-Star reserves which could mean trips for Alperen Sengun and/or Kevin Durant of the Rockets and Johnson for the Hawks.
Length will be a key factor in this matchup, with the Rockets having the decided advantage, although the Hawks have counters. Houston is missing Steven Adams, however, and without their big man, the stats have already reflected slight slippage in rebounding overall.
As noted, the Rockets struggle on the road, and with the Hawks on a win streak, it’s easy to tap them and take the points.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Big O a real one 🫡 pic.twitter.com/UFK48rkW6o
— Atlanta Hawks (@ATLHawks) January 29, 2026
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