Free NBA Pick: Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers Lines
Looking for Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers free NBA picks? NBA betting sees the Nuggets taking on the Blazers on Sunday, November 13, 2016 at Moda Center, Portland, Ore. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions.
(6-4) Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers (6-4)
Date: Sunday November 13
Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Moda Center, Portland, Oregon
NBA Moneyline Odds: OFF
NBA Betting Odds: Portland -5.5
NBA Betting Total: OFF
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The Portland Trail Blazers are coming off an overtime win over the Sacramento Kings — their second overtime game of the season. That said, they had Saturday night off to rest, whereas their opponent, the Denver Nuggets played a 9:00 p.m. ET game in the Mile High City against the Detroit Pistons.
These two face off in Portland, Ore. Sunday night.
Denver’s record doesn’t paint them as a potential playoff team, but their roster is starting to come together. Since the Carmelo Anthony trade that seems like it was decades ago, this franchise has been a step away from being a step away.
Now it seems we can take away that second caveat, and say they’re legitimately a step away from being competitive on a greater scale.
Against Portland, the gameplan is obvious; albeit, easier said than done. The Nuggets most contain the Blazers backcourt.
Portland’s guard tandem of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum has torched opponents this season, but more importantly, the team has struggled when one or the other goes cold.
For Denver, you can let guys like Meyers Leonard, Allen Crabbe and the rest of the role players get theirs. Trapping the guards above the three-point line and forcing them into inefficient stat lines is going to be crucial.
On offense, look for the Nuggets to attack the middle. Kenneth Faried always plays with motivation against the Blazers because he was passed up by them on draft night by one spot in favor of point guard Nolan Smith (who???).
The young frontcourt of Denver could have a field day against the likes of Leonard, Mason Plumlee, Ed Davis and Noah Vonleh.
Portland Trail Blazers
The Trail Blazers enter this contest sans starting small-ball power forward Al-Farouq Aminu. He’s out for a couple of weeks, according to head coach Terry Stotts.
While his shot has been off, you lose more than you gain here. Yes, shooters like Allen Crabbe and (shockingly) Jake Layman can fill in, but you also miss out on a key defensive cog that can lock down the perimeter.
The good news, aside from getting better shooters into the lineup, is that Portland can now play bigger bodies at the 4.
Nobody on this roster is going to be a fix-all in terms of the team’s defensive problems in the post, but bigger, stronger bodies will be a positive element to the Blazers’ attack against a strong Denver frontcourt.
There’s also the aforementioned backcourt. Portland would love to have a situation where either McCollum or Lillard can have an off night and you know another guy steps up.
That, however, is not the case at the moment, so maximizing those two against a Denver defense that is bottom-tier at this juncture is going to be vital Sunday night.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games.
- Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Free Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers NBA Prediction:
Portland is a tough place to win for opponents. It has been for decades, and even though this isn’t the same Blazers squad of the past, that hasn’t changed.
The problem for Portland is that it’s too reliant on its backcourt this season.
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If Denver struggles to contain the role players, the Blazers could come away with the victory in convincing fashion. But barring a secondary or tertiary scorer from exploding onto the scene, give the Nuggets a road win Sunday night.
NBA Free Score Prediction: Denver Nuggets 110 – Portland Trail Blazers 103
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