Free Pick: Nuggets vs. 76ers Odds
Looking for Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Nuggets taking on the 76ers on 1/5 at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Nuggets 76ers free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers
(23-11) Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers (19-14)
Date: Dec 12, 2025
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA
NBA Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +475 | 76ers -600 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Nuggets +12 | 76ers -12
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 230.5
Here’s why I’m taking the underdog Denver as outlined in my Nuggets 76ers free pick and gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Nuggets vs. 76ers Gameday
The NBA slate for Monday, January 5th offers eight matches, including the Denver Nuggets versus the Philadelphia 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
Denver is completing a back-to-back set having played on Sunday when they fell 115-127 to the Brooklyn Nets. Four Nuggets scored in double figures led by Jamal Murray who dropped a massive double-double of 27 points and 16 assists plus six rebounds.
Notably, Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun both returned to the lineup in this match after lengthy absences.
Philly last played on Saturday, defeating the Knicks 130-119. Five Sixers scored in double figures with Tyrese Maxey leading the way, offering 36 points, nine assists, eight rebounds, four assists, a steal, and two blocks. Notably, both Paul George and Joel Embiid played in this match.
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2026 NBA Basketball Handicapping
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Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last year, Denver prevailed, sweeping the regular season series and holding a current three game win streak versus Philly. This is the first of two scheduled contests between the clubs this season.
The Nuggets were decimated by injury missing four starters but with Gordon and Braun returning there is some relief. Denver needs it as they’ve been struggling without their star Nikola Jokic having won just once in the last five matches. They’ve dropped to the fourth seed in the West sporting a 23-12 record.
The 76ers reside in the fifth seed in the East with a 19-14 record. Through the last five matches, Philly is also 3-2.
Philly is favored by a whopping 12.0 points with an over-under of 230.5 points.
Nuggets Stats
Denver ranks first offensively (123.1) and 20th defensively (116.4) while holding the fourth-best net rating (+6.6) and ranks 20th in pace (100.33).
The West’s fourth seed averages 124.3 points per game while its opponents average 118.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Denver averages 29.2 (fifth) and 43.7 (19th), respectively.
Team leaders* in key categories are Nikola Jokic for scoring (29.6), **rebounding (12.2), assists (11.0), and steals (1.4), while Peyton Watson leads in blocks (1.0).
As for perimeter efficiency, the Nuggets as a team shoot 40.1% (1st in NBA) with eight players shooting between 36.1% and 45.5%.
*Minimum 10 games played
**leads the NBA
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76ers Stats
Philly ranks 16th offensively (114.8), as well as tied for 12th defensively (113.7), while producing the 15th-best net rating (+1.0), running a pace of 100.45, which ranks tied for 19th overall.
The East’s fifth-place Sixers average 117.0 points per game while their opponents average 116.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Philly averages 24.8 (24th) and 44.8 (10th), respectively.
Team leaders* in key categories are Tyrese Maxey for scoring (31.1 points), assists (7.1), and steals (1.8), Andre Drummond for rebounds (9.2), and Adem Bona for blocks (1.4).
Perimeter shooting is somewhat of a strength for Philly, which offers seven players who shoot between 36.2% and 40.4%, while the team shoots 36.2%.
*minimum 10 games played
Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers bottom line: It took a while to integrate Joel Embiid and Paul George back into the rotation and have them find chemistry with the starting unit but they’ve turned a corner.
The key is Maxey should be the go to player for the club but there are still moments where head coach Nick Nurse looks to Embiid. It’s a nice situation to be in for Nurse as he can base his decisions on matchups but long term this is Maxey’s team.
Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers Basketball Betting Trends
- Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 15 of Denver’s last 20 games.
- Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Philadelphia.
- Also, Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games.
- Additionally, Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home.
Nuggets 76ers Free Pick: Nuggets +12
Here is my Nuggets 76ers free pick. Typically the Nuggets have struggled without Jokic, particularly offensively, but this iteration of the team is deeper than recent seasons.
The big question entering this matchup is whether Gordon and Braun will play given it’s a back-to-back scenario. Fortunately neither was tapped in playing time on Sunday playing 24 and 21 minutes respectively.
While not ideal that Nikola Jokic will miss a month his absence may pay dividends for a team that has always struggled when he sat. This allows Adelman the opportunity to get the other units time together and the ability to develop a chemistry.
Perhaps the pundits are expecting both players to miss this matchup but I’m going to roll the dice in the hopes they get some minutes and that’s why I’m taking the points and the Nuggets.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Aaron Gordon just completely unlocks the Nuggets’ offense with his physicality pic.twitter.com/HIDMp1t52d
— Matt Brooks (@MattBrooksNBA) January 4, 2026
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