Free NBA Pick: Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA Odds
Looking for Denver Nuggets vs. OKC Thunder free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Nuggets taking on the Thunder on Monday, May 5th at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City Oklahoma. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Nuggets Thunder matchup.
2025 NBA Handicapping Denver Nuggets vs. OKC Thunder
(0-0) Denver Nuggets vs. OKC Thunder (0-0)
Date: Monday, May 5th
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Moneyline NBA Odds: Nuggets +315 | Thunder -400 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Thunder -9.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 225.5
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Monday, May 5th features a two-game slate of NBA semi-final games, including the Denver Nuggets on the road to their hosts, the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Denver arrives following their Game 7 victory versus the LA Clippers, while the Thunder swept the Grizzlies and have been off resting since April 22nd.
Season Series
The Thunder won three of the four matches between the Northwestern Division rivals last season while OKC also holds the all-time record between the squads with 107 victories in 202 matches.
Denver Nuggets
Fatigue could factor in this series, but for the first match being fresh and in a rhythm could benefit the Nuggets who’ll face perhaps an overly rested Thunder club.
Nikola Jokic will draw the key assignment so keep your eyes peeled for the double big-man unit so Mark Daigneault can switch between Hartenstein and Holmgren guarding the Joker.
Conversely, Christian Braun (I’m assuming) will have his hands full trying to limit SGA.
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Nuggets Stats
This season, Denver ranked fourth offensively (118.9) and 21st defensively (115.1) with a net differential of plus +3.8, which ranked ninth overall.
Despite their overall placement, the Nuggets weren’t as solid against the spread with a 41-46-2 record through 89 contests.
Nuggets Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- DaRon Holmes II, PF (OUT for season — Achilles)
OKC Thunder
It’s very likely the Most Valuable Player Award will be handed out during this series. At last glance the straw poll had SGA snagging the hardware but there was a swell of Jokic support following his 61 point triple-double.
Either way it’ll serve to motivate the loser and add dimension to this series. Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren will play major roles, but it’s players like Alex Caruso and Isaiah Joe (etc, etc) who are the true x-factors of this series.
Thunder Stats
OKC ranked third offensively (119.2) and first defensively (106.6) with a net differential of plus +12.7 which also ranked first overall this regular season.
Notably, the Thunder’s record against the spread is 57-29-1 through 87 contests.
Thunder Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Ousmane Dieng, F (OUT — calf)
- Nicola Topic, PG ( OUT for season — ACL)
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Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Nuggets are 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver’s last 9 games on the road.
- Also, the Nuggets are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Oklahoma City.
- By comparison, the Thunder are 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City’s last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Thunder are 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
Free Denver Nuggets vs. OKC Thunder NBA Prediction:
So many storylines are featured in this series, with the most notable being the top two MVP candidates (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic) facing off against one another.
In addition, Russell Westbrook returns to OKC, while the Nuggets seek to repeat as champions and the Thunder seek a franchise-first title.
Both clubs have robust offenses, but it’s the Thunder’s defense that should be the factor over the course of seven games. Rest versus rust could also factor in (meaning: the first quarter could get ugly).
4* Free Denver Nuggets vs. OKC Thunder NBA Betting Pick: Nuggets +9
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
First ever Thunder black out in OKC.
Tomorrow night. pic.twitter.com/1comRj1gQJ
— Brandon Rahbar (@BrandonRahbar) May 4, 2025
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