Free Pick: Nuggets vs. Bucks Odds
Looking for Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Nuggets taking on the Bucks on 1/23 at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Nuggets Bucks free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks
(30-15) Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks (18-25)
Date: Jan 13, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
NBA Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +185| Bucks -222 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Nuggets +6.5 | Bucks -6.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 221.5
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog visitors, Denver, as outlined in my Nuggets Bucks free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Nuggets vs. Bucks Gameday
Friday, the NBA serves up an eight-game slate, including the Denver Nuggets traveling to Wisconsin to play the Milwaukee Bucks.
Denver arrives on the heels of a 107-97 victory versus the Washington Wizards on Thursday in the front side of their back-to-back set. Four Nuggets registered double figures, led by Peyton Watson (who continues to take a leap forward), who scored 35 points along with eight rebounds, three assists, two steals, and four blocks.
Milwaukee last played on Wednesday, falling 102-122 to the OKC Thunder. Six Bucks scored in double figures, led by Giannis Antetokounmpo with 19 points, 14 rebounds, and seven assists.
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Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds & Last 5
Last year, the teams split the two-game set, each winning once. This season, the Nuggets are up 1-0 and accomplished that victory with only one typical starter (Aaron Gordon) on the court, while the Bucks had their full complement of players.
Popular thinking when Nikola Jokic went down with a hyperextended knee was that the Nuggets would be lucky to stay out of the play-in seeds. Flash forward, and Denver is 8-5 in Jokic’s absence, and they sit in the third seed in the West with a 30-15 record.
Conversely, the Bucks are 3-11 when Antetokounmpo is out, but are also struggling with him back on the court. Case in point, Milwaukee is 2-5 through the last seven matches. They sit in the 11 seed with an 18-25 record.
The Bucks are 6.5-point favorites with an over/under of 218.5 points.
Nuggets Stats
Denver ranks first offensively (121.3) and 23rd defensively (116.6) while holding the sixth-best net rating (+4.7) and ranks 25th in pace (98.96).
The West’s third seed averages 121.1 points per game while its opponents average 116.5 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Denver averages 28.2 (ninth) and 42.2 (24th), respectively.
Team leaders* in key categories are Nikola Jokic for scoring (29.6), **rebounding (12.2), assists (11.0), and steals (1.4), while Peyton Watson leads in blocks (1.1).
As for perimeter efficiency, the Nuggets as a team shoot 39.7% (1st in NBA) with nine players shooting over 39.4% and seven of those shooting 40% and above!
*Minimum 10 games played
**leads the NBA
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Bucks Stats
Milwaukee ranks 23rd on offense (112.8), and 21st on defense (116.4), and has the 24th-best net rating (-3.5) while they rank 25th in pace (99.0).
The East’s 11th seed averages 112.2 points per game while their opponents average 115.8 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Milwaukee averages 26.3 (15th) and 40.4 ( 29th), respectively.
Milwaukee’s team leaders* in key categories are Giannis Antetokounmpo in scoring (28.2) and rebounding (9.9), Kevin Porter Jr. for assists (7.4) and steals (2.1), while Myles Turner leads for blocks (1.5).
Seven Bucks shoot over 39.0% from the perimeter. As a team, the Bucks shoot 39.4% from deep, ranking second in the association.
*minimum 10 games played
Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks bottom line:
Preseason, I picked the Nuggets to win the championship, and while I’m high on the Thunder, I believe Denver would win a seven-game series with a healthy Jokic.
Even without him, plus Christian Braun and Cam Johnson, I like how hard Denver has played, and how they’ve learned to win without their superstar.
Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks Basketball Betting Trends
- Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver’s last 9 games.
- Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Milwaukee.
- Also, Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee’s last 18 games.
- Additionally, Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
Nuggets Bucks Free Pick: Raptors -5.5
The assumption is that the Bucks are markedly better when Antetokounmpo plays, which is somewhat true. Still, the Bucks have put up some stinkers recently, begging the question of whether Giannis will remain patient with the front office or if his days are numbered in Milwaukee.
Giannis Antentokounmpo is headed back to the All-Star Game as a starter with buzz around his future. The biggest question on everyone’s mind is whether he finishes the season in Milwaukee!
Christian Braun is marked as out until the 23rd, which means he might return for this match. Denver sure could use his defense with a bonus for his offensive contributions.
Ultimately, I just can’t get behind the Bucks based on one player rising to the occasion, so I’m rolling with the Nuggets and taking the gift of 6.5 points.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Giannis Antetokounmpo on only taking 11 shots in Milwaukee’s 122-102 LOSS vs. OKC:
“I’m not the guy who will yell & cuss his teammates out, & demand the ball. My teammates kind of understand that gravity that I can cause for our team. How I can create for my teammates & for… pic.twitter.com/0v4AhZphpE
— Courtside Buzz (@CourtsideBuzzX) January 22, 2026
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