Free NBA Pick: Nuggets vs Pacers NBA Odds
Looking for Denver Nuggets vs. Indiana Pacers free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Nuggets taking on the Pacers on Friday, March 24, 2017 at the Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indiana. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions.
(34-37) Denver Nuggets vs. Indiana Pacers (36-35)
Date: Friday, March 24
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Bankers Life Fieldhouse – Indiana
NBA Moneyline Odds: Off
NBA Betting Odds: Indy -1.5
NBA Betting Total: 220
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Friday NBA sees an interconference battle between one team looking to firm up its current playoff positioning and another doing everything it can to avoid falling out of the top eight in the standings.
*All statistics, standings, records, rankings and trends are current as of this writing at 5:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 23, 2017.
Denver enters this game scoring 111.5 points per night.
Although that number is good enough for third in the league, it’s tempting to believe that this group only scores so much because of its fast pace (it runs the eighth-highest pace in the league).
The Nuggets enter this contest with the league’s fourth-best offensive efficiency rating. That is largely due to the emergence of Nikola Jokic as a Swiss Army Knife-type player whose best attribute is his passing and playmaking.
Simply put: He’s making everybody around him better.
The catch in all of this, and the reason all these compliments haven’t resulted in a guaranteed playoff spot, is because the defense is allowing opponents to score 111 points per game. That number is only good enough for 27th in the league.
If you’re thinking to yourself that the explanation here is because of the fast pace, well…we hate to repeat ourselves, but…
Denver is second-to-last in terms of defensive efficiency this season.
If the Nuggets are going to come away with a win, it almost certainly has to be in a high-scoring, fast-paced, offense-oriented victory.
The Pacers have lost five of their last nine games. All of those drops have come on the road by an average of 13.2 points per night, but the four wins were all home games with an average margin of victory of 12.3 points.
Needless to say, this team is ready to play this one at home, despite it being against a desperate opponent.
Against Denver, the key is to control the pace. The Nuggets are going to look to get out and score in transition, as their defense isn’t nearly good enough to make up for the fact that half-court offense is not their forte.
All that said, Jokic is a forced to be reckoned with in half-court sets, as his playmaking has legitimately become his best asset.
For that reason, the Pacers need to focus their defensive attention to all scorers — not just Jokic. Locking down players like Danillo Gallinari, Wilson Chandler and Jameer Nelson are far more important than doubling down on the defensive efforts against Jokic.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Friday games.
- Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall
- Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest
Free Denver Nuggets vs. Indiana Pacers NBA Prediction:
This time of year, statistics are telling for all 30 squads in the NBA. But there’s also narrative to take into consideration, and in this case, that means Denver has the edge it needs.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Denver ATS
Indy is at home, which bodes well for the Pacers. But the Nuggets are desperate for a return to the playoffs, which does not.
If Indiana can put together an exceptionally strong showing on defense, it should get the win, as the Nugs can’t stop their offense. We just don’t see that happening.
NBA Free Score Prediction: Denver Nuggets 113 – Indiana Pacers 107
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