Free Pick: Mavericks vs. Wolves Odds
Looking for Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Mavericks taking on the Wolves on 2/20 at the Target Center in Minneapolis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Mavericks Wolves free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves
(19-35) Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (34-22)
Date: Feb 20, 2026
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: The Target Center, Minnesota
NBA Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +440 | Wolves -625 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Mavericks +12.5 | Wolves -12.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 235.5
Here’s why I’m backing the hometown favorite as outlined in my Mavericks Wolves free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Mavericks vs. Wolves Gameday
With the All-Star break over, it’s time to get back to work with nine games on Friday, including the Dallas Mavericks facing the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Dallas last played on February 12th, losing 104-124 to the Lakers. Four Mavericks scored in double figures, led by Max Christie and Naji Marshal,l who each scored 19 points.
The Wolves last played on Friday, February 11th, defeating the Portland Trail Blazers 133-109. Five Wolves registered double-figure scoring, led by Julius Randle with 41 points, seven rebounds, two assists, and a steal.
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Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds & Last 5
Last season, the Timberwolves won the regular series, 2-1, and are leading again this season, up 2-0 with two games left to play.
Dallas is struggling, having lost nine games in a row, and now their rookie is dealing with a left midfoot sprain, which may keep him out for an extended period. The Mavericks sit in the 12th seed with a record of 19-35.
Minnesota has fluctuated back and forth between great and mediocre all season long, often playing down to its competition, but looked solid in the games they played heading into the break. The Wolves sit in the sixth seed in a virtual tie with the Lakers and trail the Rockets by a half game for fourth overall.
Entering this matchup, the Timberwolves are 12.5 point favorites to win with an over/under of 235.5 points.
Mavericks Stats
Dallas ranks 27th offensively (110.2), tied for 13th defensively (113.5), and is tied for 23rd in net rating (-3.3), while running a pace of 102.47, which ranks fourth overall.
The West’s 12th-place Mavericks average 25.1 assists (22nd) and 44.7 rebounds (tied for 11th). Dallas scores 113.9 points per game while their opponents average 117.4 points.
Dallas’ team leaders* are Cooper Flagg for scoring (20.4) and steals (1.2), P.J. Washington for rebounds (7.0), while Ryan Nembhard leads for assists (4.9) and Daniel Gafford for blocks (1.3).
Perimeter shooting is a weakness for the Mavericks, with five players averaging over 36.8% from deep while the team averages 34.2%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
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Wolves Stats
Minnesota ranks eighth offensively (117.0), seventh defensively (112.4), and seventh in net rating (+4.6), running a pace of 101.65, which ranks ninth overall.
The West’s sixth-place Wolves average 26.5 assists (13th) and 44.8 rebounds (10th). Minny scores 119.7 points per game while their opponents average 114.8 points.
The Wolves team leaders* are Anthony Edwards for scoring (29.3 points), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (11.1) and blocks (1.7), and Julius Randle for assists (5.4) and Donte DiVincenzo for steals (1.4).
As for the perimeter, it’s a strength for the Wolves, who average 37.5% from deep with seven players (including Dosunmu) shooting above 38.3%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves bottom line:
Anthony Edwards put on a show at the All-Star Game, winning the MVP and providing some great sound bites. Now, as they enter their final 26 games to finish the season, the question is whether this team can lock down every night and move up the standings.
They sit sixth but are just 1.5 games back of the Denver Nuggets, who sit in third. AntMan is the key, and as he puts it, he needs to win a championship for him to feel worthy of being the face of the league.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball Betting Trends
- Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’ last 5 games when playing at Minnesota.
- Dallas is 0-9 SU in its last 9 games.
- Also, Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 8 games.
- Additionally, Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
Mavericks Wolves Free Pick: Wolves -12.5
Here is my Mavericks Wolves free pick.
In the prior two meetings against the Wolves, the Mavericks struggled to score, and assuming Cooper Flagg will be out again, their odds of improving that deficit won’t improve.
Minnesota, on the other hand, tends to play down to their competition, so they’ll need to focus in this match and not repeat that bad habit.
Ironically the Wolves struggle in close games with a 12-12 record in the clutch but Anthony Edwards is the best clutch time performer.
Frequent readers know I’m allergic to big spreads, and this match is no different. I get that the Wolves need to bring their best effort, yet Dallas has tended to play up to the competition at times.
Still, I’m more invested in Minnesota, so I’ll swallow the big spread and take the Wolves to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Anthony Edwards to the Casual Fan might come off Cocky or Arrogant…
But, if you really listen to Ant through his Post-Game Interviews he always Praises his Teammates. Nobody in the League Praises their Teammates more than Mr. Edwards.
When Reporters approach Ant weekly about… pic.twitter.com/mFmeprmDBF
— Minnesota Sports Insider (@CoachBGonzo) February 18, 2026
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