Free NBA Pick: Mavericks vs. Celtics
Looking for Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics free NBA picks? NBA betting sees the Mavs taking on the Celtics on Wednesday, November 16, 2016 at TD Garden in Boston, Mass. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions.
(2-7 (1-5 V) Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics 5-5 (3-1 H)
Wednesday night features a matchup between two teams that have underachieved during the early portion of the 2016-17 NBA season.
In the case of the Mavericks, they were supposed to be a team in the bottom half of the Western Conference playoffs, with their worst-case scenario being that they scrap for a spot at the end of the year and just miss the postseason.
Instead, they’re near the bottom of the West.
Boston, on the other hand, was supposed to be the consensus second-best team out East and a true challenger to the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers.
They’ve yet to be healthy and come into this one sitting at .500 and barely holding onto the No. 8 spot in the conference.
This has been an absolutely brutal start for the Mavs. Dirk Nowitzki, after starting the year as the team’s only true No. 1 option, has missed the last four contests and is doubtful for Wednesday night’s tilt.
The good news here is that Harrison Barnes is coming into his own. Only the future will tell if his max contract proves to be a worthy investment from the Mavericks’ perspective, but he’s become the team’s leading scorer 22.3 points per game, and (possibly more importantly) is also leading the team in field-goal percentage at 49.1
The bad news in all of this is that the team as a whole is struggling mightily to put up decent points. On the year, Dallas is averaging just 94.9 points per game, which is only good enough for 28th in the league.
Defensively, Dallas is good but not elite. The team is allowing opponents to score at a rate of 101.3 points per game, which puts them at 10th in the Association.
That said, their defensive efficiency sits outside the league’s Top 10 at 12th.
The bad news for Boston is that it hasn’t looked anything like the group we thought it would be. Most expected this squad to be a top-five to top-eight team on both sides of the ball.
That simply hasn’t been the case, especially on defense where the team is allowing opponents to score 108.1 points per night — only good enough for 23rd in the NBA.
The good news is that we don’t yet know what this team is capable of because we haven’t seen it play extended minutes healthy.
Entering Wednesday’s game, Jae Crowder has been ruled out, while Al Horford, the team’s big summer free-agent signing, is questionable after missing the last seven outings.
Even Isaiah Thomas has been banged up, but he hasn’t missed any time. In fact, he is coming off a Monday night showing against the New Orleans Pelicans that saw him drop 37 points and seven assists despite being questionable entering the contest.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
- Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.
- Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.
- Celtics are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.
Free Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics NBA Prediction:
In case these teams weren’t already impossible to trust at this juncture, have a look at those trends listed above…
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: No odds are posted yet, check back later for an ATS or Over/Under pick.
Although the line hasn’t been written as of this publication, we don’t need that kind of projection to know that this game is going to be ugly.
Although there’s plenty of opportunity for one team (mainly the Celtics) to pull away and win big, we’re going to give both teams the benefit of the doubt (or at least assume both defenses struggle) and go with a close win to the home team.
NBA Free Score Prediction: Boston 100 – Dallas 97
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