Free Pick: Hawks vs. Raptors Odds
Looking for Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Hawks taking on the Raptors on 1/5 at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Hawks Raptors free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors
(17-20) Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors (21-15)
Date: Jan 5, 2026
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
NBA Moneyline Odds: Hawks +140 | Raptors -155 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Hawks +3.5 | Raptors -3.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 236.5
Here’s why I’m backing the favored home town crew, as outlined in my Hawks Raptors free pick and gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Hawks vs. Raptors Gameday
Monday serves up eight matches on the hardwood, including the Atlanta Hawks visiting the Toronto Raptors.
This is the completion of a home/home baseball set in Toronto. The teams played on Saturday with the Raptors prevailing 134-117.
Atlanta was completing a back-to-back, and the fatigue did seem to catch up to the Hawks in the final frame as the Raptors pulled ahead. Five Hawks scored in double figures, including Nickeil Alexander-Walker with 31 and Jalen Johnson with 30 plus seven rebounds and nine assists.
Meanwhile, six Raptors registered double-figure scoring, led by Brandon Ingram and RJ Barrett, who each scored 29 points. Scottie Barnes filled up the stat sheet with 20 points, seven rebounds, four assists, three steals, and two blocks.
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2026 NBA Basketball Handicapping
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Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors Odds & Last 5
For the past two years, the Raptors have dominated this matchup, winning last season’s series two games to one, and will be seeking the season sweep with a victory on Monday.
Atlanta sits in the tenth seed with a record of 17-20 and is 2-3 through the last five. The Hawks are sputtering when Trae Young plays, but are also having issues in general, going 2-8 in their last 10 games.
Through the last five matches, the Raptors are 3-2 with wins against the harder clubs and losses to the Wizards and a severely undermanned Nuggets squad. Toronto is completing a five-game home stand, with this being the end of that scheduling segment.
Toronto is favored by 3.5 points with an over/under of 236.5 points.
Hawks Stats
With 37 games in the well, the Hawks rank 17th (114.6) on offense and also 17th on defense (115.5). Additionally, Atlanta ranks 17th in net rating (-0.9) and runs the third quickest pace (103.23).
The East’s 10th seed averages 119.0 points per game, while their opponents average 119.9 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Atlanta averages 31.3 (first) and 41.8 (25th), respectively.
Team leaders* in key categories for Atlanta feature Jalen Johnson for scoring (24.0 points) and rebounding (10.2), Trae Young for assists (8.9), while Dyson Daniels is the top steal man (1.9) and Kristaps Porzingis (1.4) for blocks.
Six Hawks shoot over 36% from the perimeter while the team as a whole shoots 37.3%.
*Minimum 10 games played
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Raptors Stats
Toronto ranks 19th offensively (113.9) and fourth defensively (112.4) while they are 12th in net rating (+1.7) and rank 24th in pace (99.72).
The East’s fourth seed averages 114.4 points per game while its opponents average 112.6 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Toronto averages 29.3 (fourth) and 43.4 (22nd), respectively.
Toronto’s team leaders are Brandon Ingram for scoring (22.3 points), Immanuel Quickley for assists (6.3), and Scottie Barnes for rebounds (8.6), steals (1.4), and blocks (1.5).
As a team, the Raptors shoot 35.1% from the perimeter with six* players shooting over 36.0% from deep.
*minimum 10 games
Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors bottom line:
Toronto has taken care of business this season against teams likely to be vying for playoff and play-in seeds. While they sit in fourth, a look down the ladder offers views of teams they’ve already won the series versus (Cavaliers, Hawks) or teams they have collected at least a tie against in the season series (Heat, Bucks, Nets, Pacers).
Also notable is the fact that the fourth through eighth seeds are only separated by a game and a half, so one bad week can plummet you down the ladder.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Toronto Raptors Basketball Betting Trends
- Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games on the road.
- Atlanta is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
- Also, Toronto is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto’s last 11 games.
- Additionally, Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Hawks Raptors Free Pick: Raptors -3.5
Here is my Hawks Raptors free pick. In the match on Saturday, both teams played freely and with pace through three quarters, but when the Raptors locked in defensively, the tide shifted.
This match won’t be as easy, considering the Hawks will be rested this time and should have Kristaps Porzingis back and possibly Trae Young. Toronto will still be without the services of Jakob Poeltl.
Scottie Barnes has been on a tear collecting triple-doubles and playing some of his best ball of the season. Through the last five matches he’s averaging 19.4 points, 12.4 rebounds, 6.6 assists and 1.2 steals per game.
It’s not unusual for clubs to split baseball sets, and for the losing side to make adjustments. Therefore, this match might be in favor of the Hawks.
Nor would it be surprising if the score is drastically different, and both sides attack this match with a defense-first attitude.
Toronto will need to limit Jalen Johnson and slow down Toronto native Alexander-Walker, while Atlanta needs to figure out how to slow the trio of Ingram, Barnes, and Barrett, all of whom feasted on Saturday.
Ultimately, I’m taking the home town team to win again so take the Raptors to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Scottie Barnes is the first Raptors player ever to record a 20/10/10 game with 0 TOV. pic.twitter.com/jr6zNX9nul
— Real App (@realapp) January 1, 2026
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