Free NCAA Pick: Kansas State vs. Baylor Odds
Looking for Kansas State Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Wildcats taking on the Bears on Saturday, October 4 at McLane Stadium (TX). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Kansas State Baylor matchup.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Kansas State Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears Week 6
(2-3) Kansas State Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears (3-2)
Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
Time: 12:00PM
Venue: McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas
Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Kansas State +6 | Baylor -6
Week 6 CFB Moneyline Odds: Kansas State +185 | Baylor -225
College Football Betting Total: O/U 61.5
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It has not been a great start for Kansas State, but at 1-1 in the Big 12 they are still definitely in the hunt for the big prizes in the conference.
Baylor is in a similar spot at 1-1 in the conference. The winner of this one will really be in an advantageous spot, especially if it is KSU.
These teams did not meet last year. Kansas State has dominated the last couple of times they have played, winning by an average of 26 points.
Both of those games were covers for the Wildcats as well.
Kansas State Wildcats
The Wildcats beat UCF in their last game, the first time they have covered in a game this season. Thar is what has made their start so disappointing. They were supposed to bank those wins.
Key to the win was good balance. QB Avery Johnson can be really dynamic, but he needs a solid groud game to back him up. That unlocks his running too.
The rush defense gave up 200 yards though, so there is some growth to be had if the Wildcats are really going to be in the hunt in the Big 12 for the rest of the season
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Kansas State Wildcats Stats
The Wildcats are scoring points per game, which is now slightly better than the points per game allowed by the defense.
Offensively, the team operated a spread scheme, generating an average of yards per game. This production is relatively balanced, with passing yards per game and rushing yards per game.
Quarterback Avery Johnson leads the passing game, completing of his attempts for yards and eight touchdowns, against just one interception.
Wide receiver Jayce Brown led the team in receptions with for yards and two touchdowns, while also boasting a surprising yards per carry on three rushing attempts, including a touchdown.
Fellow receiver Jaron Tibbs was also a significant target, recording receptions for yards and two scores.
In the running game, Dylan Edwards paced the running backs with yards on carries for an impressive yards per rush in the three games he played.
Baylor Bears
Baylor may be 3-2 SU, but their 1-4 ATS record tells a different story. They are wanting to be relevant in the Big 12 the rest of the way.
If that is the case it will be their offense that leads the way. In their three wins they have scored more than 40 points in each.
QB Sawyer Robertson is on pace to eclipse his impressive numbers from last season. He already has 17 touchdown passes and turns the ball over infrequently.
Coach Dave Aranda is a defense guy so it must be killing him that the Bears are so porous this season. There are lots of good offenses in the conference too.
Baylor Bears Stats
- Clemson is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
- Kansas State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
- Kansas State is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games against Baylor.
- Kansas State is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against Baylor.
- Kansas State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road.
- Baylor is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of Baylor’s last 15 games.
- Baylor is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
- Baylor is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home.
4* Free Kansas State Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears 2025 Week 6 NCAA Betting Prediction: Kansas State +6
Here’s our Wildcats Bears free pick. Kansas State always feels like one of those programs that is better to back when they are an underdog, right?
The offense just isn’t there and I would expect lots of bettors are putting this game into their teasers given that we are on the key number right now.
After the win they might be getting back on the radar after burning bettors early in the season but we all have long memories. It feels like there is decent value here compared to preseason expectations.
Plus Avery Johnson is the exact kind of quarterback you need to competee on the road. Look for a high scoring game down to the final possession.
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Kansas State Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
🟡 Game Day. GOLD Day.
🆚 Kansas State
⌚️ 11:00 AM CT
📺 ESPN+#SicEm | @McDonalds pic.twitter.com/THc1TymK1M— Baylor Football (@BUFootball) October 4, 2025
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