Free NCAA Pick: Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green Odds
Looking for Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falcons free NCAA Week 12 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Broncos taking on the Falcons on Tuesday, November 12th at the Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Western Michigan Bowling Green matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(5-4) Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falcons (5-4)
Date: Tuesday, November 12th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH
Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Western Michigan +8.5 | Bowling Green -8.5
Week 12 CFB Moneyline Odds: Western Michigan +259 | Bowling Green -335
College Football Betting Total: O/U 58
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Ready for some Tuesday night MACtion? Week 12 brings us a fierce clash between the Western Michigan Broncos and the Bowling Green Falcons, two teams sitting at 5-4 with serious momentum on the line.
Bowling Green has owned this matchup recently, snagging the last two wins and leading the all-time series 34-20-3.
The Falcons come into this one on fire, winning four of their last five, including a three-game streak that shows they’re primed and ready.
ESPN2 will be covering the 7:00 ET kickoff as the Bowling Green Falcons host the Western Michigan Broncos at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green. Both teams enter the game with a 5-4 record this season.
The Falcons are the -8.5-point favorites at home, and the over/under line is currently set at 58 points for this week 12 college football matchup.
Western Michigan Broncos
Western Michigan enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, facing Bowling Green on the road. They are ranked 108th in our power rankings but have an 86.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Broncos are 2-3 away and 2-1 at home this season.
Against the spread, Western Michigan is 4-4, with a 2-1 record at home and 2-3 on the road. They’ve been favored in three games, going 2-1 ATS as the favorite.
The over/under line for this week is 58 points. The Broncos’ games have averaged 68 points, with an average over/under line of 54.2. Their over/under record stands at 6-2 this season.
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Western Michigan Broncos Stats
Western Michigan’s offense is averaging 33.3 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 29th in the country. They are also 40th in our offensive power rankings. The Broncos have been strong on the ground, averaging 212.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st nationally.
Jaden Nixon leads the rushing attack with 847 yards, 12 touchdowns, and an impressive 7 yards per carry. Quarterback Hayden Wolff has thrown for 1,765 yards with 16 touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 107.
Western Michigan’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.7 points per game. In their recent game against Northern Illinois, they gave up 42 points, including 258 rushing yards on 40 carries and 156 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 183.4 rushing yards per game against Western Michigan, while quarterbacks have posted a passer rating of 105.6, completing 65.1% of their passes and averaging 246.2 passing yards per game.
Bowling Green Falcons
Bowling Green enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, hosting Western Michigan. They are 1-2 at home and 3-2 on the road this season. The Falcons have a 96.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 26.2% chance of winning the Mid-American, according to projections.
Bowling Green’s ATS record stands at 3-5, with a 3-2 mark on the road and 0-3 at home. They are 0-5 against the spread as favorites but 3-0 ATS as underdogs. Their average scoring margin this season is +5.7 points per game.
The over/under line for this week is 58 points. Bowling Green’s games have averaged an over/under line of 49.9 points, and their over/under record is 3-5, with games averaging 47.7 points.
Bowling Green Falcons Stats
Heading into week 12, Bowling Green’s offense ranks 64th in our power rankings, averaging 26.7 points per game. They are 54th in passing attempts, with 30.4 per game, and 41st in completions, with 20.2 per game, averaging 227.8 passing yards per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 37.8%.
Connor Bazelak leads the team with 2,022 passing yards and a passer rating of 98, completing 68.2% of his throws. He has 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. Terion Stewart has rushed for 679 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored five touchdowns. Malcolm Johnson Jr. has 375 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Bowling Green’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 27th in the nation by allowing just 21 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the pass, giving up only 168.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 19th nationally. Opposing quarterbacks have completed just 55.1% of their passes and have a passer rating of 80.2 against Bowling Green.
In their recent game against Central Michigan, the defense allowed just 13 points and 250 total yards. They gave up 187 rushing yards on 38 attempts but held Central Michigan to only 63 passing yards on 14 attempts.
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falcons NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Western Michigan Broncos are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bowling Green Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Western Michigan Broncos are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bowling Green Falcons have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Western Michigan Broncos’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Bowling Green Falcons’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 12 NCAA Betting Prediction: Western Michigan +8.5
Western Michigan is the slight -8.5 point favorite over Bowling Green in this week 12 matchup. We have a projected final score of 31-30 in favor of Western Michigan, so we would take them to cover the spread as the road underdog.
With the over/under line set at 58 points, our projection of 61 points suggests taking the over as the best play.
The line favors Bowling Green at -8.5, with a moneyline at -335, so the oddsmakers see them as the team to beat. Western Michigan, however, is a feisty +259 underdog.
Can they turn the tables, or will Bowling Green keep their hot streak rolling?
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Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falcons NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
:
MACtion returns to Doyt Perry Stadium on Tuesday night when Western Michigan comes to town.#ToTheMoon» https://t.co/l0IN7FkuoQ pic.twitter.com/GahxSr3gMh
— BGSU Football (@BG_Football) November 7, 2024
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