Free Week 10 Prediction: Hilltoppers vs Commodores Odds
Looking for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores free picks? Week 10 betting sees the Hilltoppers taking on the Commodores Saturday November 4th at Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Western Kentucky Vanderbilt free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 10
(5-3) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (3-5)
Date: Saturday, November 4th
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee
NCAA Football Spread: Vanderbilt -11.5
NCAA Betting Total: 52.0
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Vanderbilt certainly is eager for a break from their conference schedule as they have lost 5 straight SEC games and last week was the first time they were even close in a conference game.
The Hilltoppers are fresh off a home loss to Conference USA leader FAU but will be hoping to continue their quest for a bowl bid as they currently sit at 5-3.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
The nation’s leading offense from last season has taken quite the step back this season. They are averaging just 27 points per game after leading the FBS with 45.5 per game last season.
They lost a few key weapons and offensive linemen who are now playing in the NFL and their absence has been evident.
At this point last season, quarterback Mike White had already thrown for 20 touchdowns on the season. He has just 14 this season and 12 of those have come in the last 3 games.
The Hilltoppers fell at home in overtime to Vanderbilt last season and White struggled in the game – posting his second lowest quarterback rating of the season only better than when they lost to Alabama.
The absence of the run game has made things more difficult for White as the Hilltoppers are averaging only 83 rushing yards per game. White will likely need to continue slinging it all over the field like he has the last three weeks for the Hilltoppers to have a chance at the road upset.
Defensively, the Hilltoppers have been very solid but have had some struggles against the run. That could be problematic this week as Vanderbilt’s tailback Ralph Webb is extremely talented and poised for a big game after being bottled up by SEC defenses the last several weeks.
While Webb is maybe their most talented offensive player, his numbers have been hardly impressive this season.
Last season against Western Kentucky, Webb ran for 95 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Webb makes things easier for quarterback Kyle Shurmur – who has taken a gigantic step forward this season.
Shurmur hasn’t been doing enough to get the Commodores victories but he certainly isn’t losing games for them like he was at times last season.
Shurmur owns a 18 to 3 touchdown to interception ratio on the season which is leaps and bounds better than his 14 to 13 career ratio coming into this season.
While the Vanderbilt defense has been its strength in recent seasons, it hasn’t held up well in conference play this season. They have allowed 46.6 points per game in their five SEC games. In their other 3 games though, they have only allowed 4.3 points per game.
I would expect Shurmur and Webb to be thrilled to be facing a defense that is nowhere near the strength of the last 5 they have played and should be poised for a big game.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Vanderbilt is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games against Conference USA.
- Western Kentucky is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Western Kentucky is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Vanderbilt’s last 8 home games.
Free Week 10 NCAA Football Pick
Western Kentucky was a great first half and over team to bet last season as their offense was incredible and they jumped out to lots of early leads. This year has been much of the opposite as they are lacking the firepower to put teams away. Vanderbilt has looked awful against the SEC but this will be a spot where they can regain some confidence.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Vanderbilt -11.5
Webb and Shurmur both could be set for big games in this one and the Vandy defense should return to form closer to the early season non-conference slate rather than of late.
Week 10 Free Score Prediction: Vanderbilt 37 – Western Kentucky 20
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