Free Week 5 Prediction: Hilltoppers vs. Blazers Odds
Looking for WKU Hilltoppers vs. UAB Blazers free picks? Week 5 betting sees the Hilltoppers taking on the Blazers Saturday September 28th at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Kentucky. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this WKU UAB Week 5 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 5
(1-2) WKU Hilltoppers vs. UAB Blazers (3-0)
Date: Saturday, September 28th 2019
Time: 7:00 pm EST
Venue: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Kentucky
NCAA Football Spread: 3
NCAA Betting Total: 48
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UAB travels to Kentucky on Saturday to take on the Hilltoppers the two clash for a big start to the C-USA conference schedule. UAB is road favorites going into Kentucky as they are exactly three-point favorites. Western Kentucky has struggled to move the ball in their first three games, but is looking from a spark on offense from their junior quarterback Steven Duncan.
UAB has played well in their first three games beating two teams at home and winning a big one on the road at Arkansas. They were favored in this game, but still managed to cover the spread even against an SEC team.
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We will see a good defense from UAB, only allowing 14 points a game thus far. On the other side WKU has given up almost 30 points a game and has struggled to stop just about anyone.
WKU Hilltoppers
Western Kentucky has not had many bright spots throughout the season with their record showing some early struggles. Junior quarterback Steven Duncan has had flashes of being that guy for the Hilltoppers that might just put them over the top as a team that will try and reaches a bowl.
Unfortunately, with some of those ups and downs have come inconsistencies and turnovers for Duncan. Throwing four interceptions in the first three games and only completing 58% of his passes, Duncan needs to turn it around on Saturday for the Hilltoppers to have a shot.
The defense for the Hilltoppers has been troublesome as well, giving up the 30 points a game has not been their only struggle as they have also allowed almost 11 yards per attempt through the air.
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The Hilltoppers will get a nice home game on back to back weeks following the game against Louisville and will try and clean up the mistakes on both sides of the ball.
UAB Blazers
The Blazers have been all but perfect in their first three games, defeating all three opponents on their schedule and taking a big one on the road from Arkansas. Although Arkansas is having another down year, this a big win for the UAB program that is finding its football again.
Quarterback Tyler Johnston has been special for the Blazers, throwing for over 800 yards in just three games and leading the team with eight touchdowns through the air. Not only has Johnston played well, but he has also limited his mistakes turning the ball over, helping the defense stay off the field.
Johnston is a big reason why the Blazers are undefeated so far, but the defense deserves a lot of this love as well. Giving up 281 total yards a game and less than 100 rushing yards is something to be really proud of for the UAB team. They will try to go into Kentucky and do much of the same to the Hilltoppers to stay undefeated.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 12-4 in UAB last 16 conference games.
- Under is 9-3 in UAB last 12 games on field turf.
- UAB are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Under is 10-2 in WKU last 12 games as an underdog.
- WKU are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- WKU are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Pick
UAB is only a three point favorite on the road, with the recent struggles with the Hilltoppers, I expect UAB to take advantage of the poor defense and run away with this one.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: UAB -3.
I love UAB in this spot at -3 going into Saturday’s game. Even on the road they have been playing so well I can’t see the WKU team able to stop the offense especially after giving up so many points to inferior teams the past two weeks. This will be a good matchup in Kentucky, but I expect the Blazers to really pull away late.
UAB’s defense should be too much for the WKU offensive line to handle. UAB has crushed opponents at the line of scrimmage and it is to be expected they do much of the same on Saturday. We should see 3-4 sacks being had for the Blazers to pull away late.
Week 5 Free Score Prediction: WKU 14 – UAB 34
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