Free NCAA Pick: Virginia vs. Maryland Odds
Looking for Virginia Cavaliers vs. Maryland Terrapins free NCAA Week 3 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Cavaliers taking on the Terrapins on Friday, September 15th at the SECU Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Virginia Maryland matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(0-2) Virginia Cavaliers vs. Maryland Terrapins (2-0)
Date: Friday, September 15th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: SECU Stadium
NCAA Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: Virginia +14.5 | Maryland -14.5
Week 3 CFB Moneyline Odds: Virginia +461 | Maryland -674
College Football Betting Total: O/U 49
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In the upcoming non-conference football clash, the Cavaliers (0-2, 1-1 ATS) find themselves as significant underdogs with a +14 point spread, taking on the Terps (2-0, 0-2 ATS), who are -14pt underdogs.
The total for the game is set at 48.5.
While Maryland’s recent 3-7 ATS record has been less than impressive over the L10 games, they’re good at home going 7-2 SU record in their L9 home games.
These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, Virginia has gone 3-0.
The team’s split these games vs. the spread, each going 1-2. In terms of scoring, Virginia and Maryland averaged 48 points and finished with an over/under record of 1-2.
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Virginia Cavaliers
Even though Virginia led by seven at the half, they still lost their most recent game by a score of 36-35 to James Madison.
Virginia’s average scoring differential so far this season is at -18.5 points per game leading to an ATS mark of 0-2. This has come while being favored in each of their first two.
So far this season, Virginia boasts an over/under record of 2-0. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 66.5 points, while the average over/under line has been 47.8 points.
Virginia Cavaliers Stats
On the ground, the Cavaliers are 29th in college football at 75 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 56.5 (131st). So far, they have turned to the passing game 25 and have a per game average of 241.5. Overall, they are 53rd in points (24 PPG).
The Cavaliers defense comes into the game with two sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 42.5 points per game (64th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 79th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 220 passing yards per game.
Additionally, Virginia’s run defense comes in allowing 227 rushing yards per contest.
Maryland Terrapins
Maryland most recently played against Charlotte and won by a score of 38-20.
Maryland’s record vs. the spread this season is a perfect 1-0. So far, they have been the underdog in all two of their games and have a scoring differential of +25.
Over two games, the average over/under line for Maryland’s games has been 50.5 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 51 points, resulting in an OU record of 1-0.
Maryland Terrapins Stats
On the offensive side, Maryland has averaged 38 points per game this season.
This figure has them 27th in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 285 passing yards, is ranked 40th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 34th in rushing yards with an average of 71 rushing attempts per contest this season.
Defensively, the Terrapins enter the game with five sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries.
They’ve allowed 13 points per game thus far this season (14th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 35th in the NCAA, giving up 158.5 passing yards per game.
Against the run, Maryland has allowed 136.5 rushing yards per contest thus far.
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Maryland Terrapins NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Cavaliers are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cavaliers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Terrapins have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cavaliers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Terrapins’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Virginia vs. Maryland Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | +480 | +460 | +14 | +14.5 |
| Terrapins | -715 | -671 | -14 | -14.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NCAA Betting Prediction: Maryland -14.5
For this matchup, I’m placing my bet on Maryland to cover the spread at -14.5. Maryland had an impressive performance in their last game, particularly in the ground game against James Madison.
Their defense is top tier averaging 13 PPG allowed. You have to like that.
I expect them to continue that trend this week, which is why I’m backing Maryland before kickoff.
Strong lean in this one on the OVER as well. My projections and model have this one coming in at 59.
Both teams can put up points. I anticipate both offenses maintaining their pace and to keep firing on all cylinders. Virginia averages 24 PPG and Maryland is sitting at 38 PPG. They’ll both get theirs.
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Virginia Cavaliers vs. Maryland Terrapins NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
We faced adversity TOGETHER
2-0
Terp Tapes 🎥: Charlotte #TBIA pic.twitter.com/Hy7rluiLj4
— Maryland Football (@TerpsFootball) September 12, 2023
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