Free NCAA Pick: Virginia vs. Boston College Odds
Looking for Virginia Cavaliers vs. Boston College Eagles free NCAA Week 5 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Cavaliers taking on the Eagles on Saturday, September 30th at the Alumni Stadium (MA). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Virginia Boston College matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(0-4) Virginia Cavaliers vs. Boston College Eagles (1-3)
Date: Saturday, September 30th
Time: 2:00 ET
Venue: Alumni Stadium (MA)
NCAA Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Virginia +3.0 | Boston College -3
Week 5 CFB Moneyline Odds: Virginia +127 | Boston College -155
College Football Betting Total: O/U 54.5
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Virginia and Boston College did not meet up last season, but over their last three head-to-head matchups, each team is 1-2. Boston College had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 52 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
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Virginia Cavaliers
In the Virginia’s most recent 24-21 loss to NC State, they were unable to pull it out late, despite cutting into NC State’s 21-13 lead going into the 4th.
Despite being favored in all of their games this season, they have yet to pick up an ATS win at 0-4. Virginia comes into the game with an average scoring margin of -17 points per game.
In four games played, the average over/under line for Virginia’s games has been set at 47.8 points.
These contests have seen an average combined score of 58.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 3-1.
Virginia Cavaliers Stats
As they prepare to face the Boston College, the Cavaliers’ offense is averaging 79.2 rushing yards per game and 2 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 114th in rushing yards and 114th in passing yards, on an average of 254.2 yards per matchup.
Virginia has averaged 20.8 points per game so far. This figure places them 74th in the nation.
Defensively, the Cavaliers defense has come up with five sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 37.8 points per contest (100th). Against the pass, they are 111th in the NCAA, having allowed 240.5 passing yards allowed per game.
Virginia is giving up 178 rushing yards per contest.
Facing NC State, the Cavaliers’ offense managed to accumulate 384 yards of total offense, of which 113 were gained on the ground, and 271 through the air. Their performance on third down was 5/14, and they scored two passing touchdowns.
Boston College Eagles
Boston College is coming of a 56-28 loss to Louisville. The Eagles were never able to recover from falling behind early, trailing 28-14 at the half.
The Eagles have still not covered the spread this season at 0-2. So far, they have been the favorite in each of their first four games.
Across four games, the average over/under line in Boston College’s matchups is 50.5 points.
These games have seen an average combined score of 63.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 2-0.
Boston College Eagles Stats
On offense, Boston College comes into the game averaging 28, which is 52nd in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 242.2 passing yards (61st) compared to 63rd in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 145 rushing attempts per contest.
The Eagles’ ended with 41 pass attempts vs Louisville, racking up 295 yards and three scores.
In the rushing department, they averaged 4.3 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
Coming into their matchup vs. Virginia, the Boston College defense is 96th in points allowed, giving up 35.5 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 228 passing yards per game against them (91st in the country).
Against the run, they’re allowing 188 rushing yards, which ranks them 132nd in college football.
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Boston College Eagles NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Cavaliers are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cavaliers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Eagles have gone 2-8 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cavaliers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Eagles’ have an over/under record of 2-0-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Virginia vs. Boston College Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | +114 | +127 | +2.5 | +3 |
| Eagles | -137 | -155 | -2.5 | -3 |
4* Free Week 5 NCAA Betting Prediction: Virginia +3.0
Boston College has struggled with turnovers in their passing game lately, they’re also 1-5 SU in their last 6 games, and 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games.
As the away underdogs, I’m leaning towards Virginia to cover the spread at +3.0.
My model has this one at 58 points total, so play the OVER 54.5.
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Virginia Cavaliers vs. Boston College Eagles NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/BCFootball/status/1706410486764392871
https://twitter.com/BCFootball/status/1707169755595993206
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