Free NCAA Pick: Vanderbilt vs. Florida Odds
Looking for Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Commodores taking on the Gators on Saturday, October 7th at the Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Vanderbilt Florida matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(2-4) Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators (3-2)
Date: Saturday, October 7th
Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
NCAA Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Vanderbilt +18.5 | Florida -18.5
Week 6 CFB Moneyline Odds: Vanderbilt +685 | Florida -1188
College Football Betting Total: O/U 54
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Welcome to College Football Week 6, where we’re gearing up for an exciting matchup between the Vanderbilt Commodores and the Florida Gators. This Saturday, on October 7th, at 4:00 PM ET, the action unfolds at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida.
In this clash, the Vanderbilt Commodores, with a record of 2-4, take on the Florida Gators, who stand at 3-2.
Looking at the betting lines, Vanderbilt comes in as the underdog with a spread of +18.5, while Florida holds the favorite position at -18.5. If you’re feeling adventurous, you can explore the moneyline odds with Vanderbilt at +685 and Florida at -1188. The game’s total is set at 54.
In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Vanderbilt picked up the 31-24 win (last year). When looking at how the two offenses performed in this game, Vanderbilt ran for 175 yards while throwing for 108.
As for Florida, they finished with 400 while running for 45.
Stay tuned to our College football handicapping blog for insights on this exciting matchup!
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Vanderbilt Commodores
After trailing by -14 at halftime, Vanderbilt could not make a comeback and lost their most recent game 38-21 to Missouri.
Against the spread, Vanderbilt has gone 2-3 this season. The Commodores have been favored three times compared to two games as the underdog.
After six games, the average over/under line in Vanderbilt’s matches stands at 54.3 points.
The collective score in their games has averaged 64.7 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-0.
Vanderbilt Commodores Stats
On offense, Vanderbilt comes into the game averaging 31.3, which is 13th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 274.2 passing yards (11th) compared to 100th in rushing yards.
For the season, they are averaging 169 rushing attempts per contest.
The Commodores’ defense has given up 147.8 rushing yards per game this season, which is 107th. Opponents are recording an average of 261 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 91.9 when playing against Vanderbilt.
In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 3rd in NCAA rankings.
The Commodores’ passing game featured 31 pass attempts for 259 yards and two scores vs. Missouri. In the rushing department, they averaged 2.0 yards per carry and notched one rushing touchdown.
Florida Gators
In Florida’s 33-14 loss to Kentucky, the Gators struggled in the 4th quarter. The teams went into the 4th quarter all tied at 14-14.
So far, Florida has been favored three times and the underdog in one game.
This has led to an ATS record of 2-2 and an average scoring differential of +7.6.
Across five games, the average over/under line in Florida’s matchups is 48.2 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 42.4 points, resulting in an OU record of 1-3.
Florida Gators Stats
Florida’s offense has put up an average of 25 points per game, placing them 57th in the NCAA rankings.
Through the air, they’ve gained 247 passing yards on average, ranking 49th in the nation. On the ground, they’re holding the 74th position in rushing yards, with 180 rushing attempts per game this season.
Facing Kentucky, the Gators’ offense managed to accumulate 313 yards of total offense, of which 69 were gained on the ground, and 244 through the air. Their performance on third down was 4/13, and they scored two passing touchdowns.
The Florida defense, going into this week’s game, holds 51st place for points allowed, allowing 17.4 points per game. Opponents have been gaining an average of 144 passing yards each game against them (12th in the country).
On the ground, they’re yielding 131.6 rushing yards, ranking them 69th in college football.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Commodores are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Commodores are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Gators have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Commodores’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Gators’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Vanderbilt vs. Florida Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Commodores | +700 | +694 | +18.5 | +18.5 |
Gators | -1250 | -1185 | -18.5 | -18.5 |
4* Free Week 6 NCAA Betting Prediction: Florida -18.5
Florida’s passing game against the Vanderbilt secondary is a matchup worth watching. Vanderbilt had trouble containing Kentucky in their recent game. My pick is Florida to cover as 18.5-point favorites.
Florida are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home. On the other side Vandy are 2-18 in their L20 games against Florida.
My model has this one at 63 total points.
Play OVER the total.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vanderbilt’s last 6 games, and the total has hit the OVER in 12 of the Gators last 18 games against Vandy.
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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Homecoming week in The Swamp. 🐊 pic.twitter.com/hjKRdMcudM
— Florida Gators Football (@GatorsFB) October 2, 2023
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