Free NCAA Pick: UTEP vs. Western Kentucky Odds
Looking for UTEP Miners vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers free NCAA Week 7 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Miners taking on the Hilltoppers on Thursday, October 10th at the Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this UTEP Western Kentucky matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(0-5) UTEP Miners vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-2)
Date: Thursday, October 10th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, KY
Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) UTEP +19.5 | Western Kentucky -19.5
Week 7 CFB Moneyline Odds: UTEP +700 | Western Kentucky -1163
College Football Betting Total: O/U 58.5
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It’s Week 7, and you can practically feel the electricity in the air! UTEP Miners are still searching for their first-ever win against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, sitting at 0-4 all-time in the series, including a 21-13 loss last November. But don’t let the past fool you—this matchup is ripe with opportunity for smart bettors.
Western Kentucky is the heavy favorite in this week seven matchup against UTEP, with the point spread set at -19.5 in their favor. The game is scheduled for 8:00 ET on Thursday, October 10th, at Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, and will be broadcast on ESNU.
The over/under line is currently at 58.5 points.
The Hilltoppers come in with a 3-2 record, while the UTEP Miners are still looking for their first win of the season.
UTEP Miners
With an 0-5 record, UTEP is ranked 130th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 0.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season. The Miners are 0-3 on the road and 0-1 at home as they prepare to face Western Kentucky in Week 7.
UTEP’s average scoring margin is -16.8 points per game, and their ATS record stands at 1-3. They have been underdogs in all five games this season, covering the spread once on the road (1-2 ATS) and failing to cover at home (0-1 ATS).
The over/under line for this week’s game is 58.5 points, higher than any of UTEP’s previous games. Their over/under record is 1-3, with an average line of 51.1 points and an average total of 48.4 points per game.
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UTEP Miners Stats
Heading into week 7, UTEP’s offense ranks 130th in our power rankings, averaging just 15.8 points per game. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 30.6%, and their rushing game is struggling, with 87.6 yards per game.
Skyler Locklear leads the passing game with 710 yards and a 63.5% completion rate. UTEP is 35th in passing attempts, averaging 34.4 per game. Locklear has three touchdowns and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 77. Kenny Odom has 359 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
UTEP’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 32.6 points per game. In their recent game against Sam Houston, they gave up 41 points, including 519 total yards, with 295 rushing yards on 50 attempts.
Opponents have averaged 240.6 rushing yards per game against UTEP, while quarterbacks have posted a 105.6 passer rating, averaging 196.6 passing yards per game.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Western Kentucky enters Week 7 with a 3-2 record, hosting UTEP. They are 1-0 at home and rank 93rd in our power rankings. Despite their current standing, they have a 96.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 20.6% chance of winning Conference USA.
The Hilltoppers have a 0 average scoring margin and a 3-1 record against the spread. They’ve been favored in just one game this season, going 1-0 ATS as the favorite and 2-1 as the underdog.
Western Kentucky’s over/under record is 2-2, with their games averaging 50.4 points. Their average over/under line is 55.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 58.5 points.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Stats
Western Kentucky’s offense has been heavily reliant on their passing game, ranking 24th in passing attempts per game and 16th in completions. They are averaging 281.8 passing yards per game, placing them 33rd nationally. Caden Veltkamp has completed 70.4% of his passes for 883 yards and eight touchdowns, though he has also thrown four interceptions.
Overall, Western Kentucky is averaging 25.2 points per game, and they are ranked 83rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Their third-down conversion rate is 36.4%, and their rushing attack is averaging just 101.6 yards per game. Elijah Young leads the team with 218 rushing yards. Kisean Johnson has 392 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 25.2 points per game this season, ranking 46th nationally. In their recent game against Boston College, they gave up 21 points but managed to hold Boston College to just 65 rushing yards on 29 attempts. The secondary allowed 254 passing yards but also came up with two interceptions.
Opposing quarterbacks have a 98.3 passer rating against Western Kentucky, completing 63.2% of their passes. The Hilltoppers rank 118th in the country, giving up 168.6 rushing yards per game, and 233.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 105th nationally.
UTEP Miners vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The UTEP Miners are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the UTEP Miners are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the UTEP Miners’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 7 NCAA Betting Prediction: UTEP +19.5
We’re looking at a Week 7 betting line that has UTEP as +19.5 underdogs, and there’s serious value here. Western Kentucky may be the favorite, but let’s talk about their defense—it’s been shaky, and I’m not sold they can justify laying nearly three touchdowns.
UTEP may be winless, but this line feels inflated, and the Miners could easily sneak under that spread.
UTEP is the heavy road underdog in their week seven matchup against Western Kentucky, with the Hilltoppers favored by -19.5 points. We have this one projected to be much closer, with a final score of 28-26 in favor of Western Kentucky. Given the spread, we like UTEP’s chances to cover.
For the over/under, with the line set at 58.5 points, our projection of 54 combined points suggests that taking the under is the best play.
If you’re eyeing the moneyline, UTEP is a long shot at +700, while Western Kentucky’s odds are a hefty -1163. The over/under sits at 58.5, which feels about right given both teams’ inconsistencies. But the real play here? UTEP covering the spread.
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UTEP Miners vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
🚨 THURSDAY NIGHT RED OUT 🚨
Tickets – https://t.co/VWPPq1EpnV pic.twitter.com/slLN7bFqMF
— WKU Football (@WKUFootball) October 7, 2024
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