Free Week 4 Prediction: Aggies vs. Aztecs Odds
Looking for Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs free picks? Week 4 betting sees the Aggies taking on the Aztecs on Saturday September 21st at SDCCU Stadium, San Diego, California. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Utah State San Diego State Week 4 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 4
(1-1) Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs (3-0)
Date: Saturday, September 21st 2019
Time: 10:30 pm EST
Venue: SDCCU Stadium, San Diego, California
NCAA Football Spread: Aggies -4
NCAA Betting Total: 54.5
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Utah State has been off the radar coming into this one, they were off last week.
Meanwhile San Diego State has looked good this season, at least on one side of the ball.
This is the first Mountain West game for both sides. Both want to get off to good starts.
Utah State Aggies
Utah State has had only one real game this season, losing their opener at Wake Forest. No shame, it was a close game.
The following week they beat up on Stony Brook. The numbers will help inflate the stats but don’t tell us much of anything.
Jordan Love is supposed to be the best QB in the Mountain West. Three interceptions against Wake are half of last season’s total so he can be better.
Even after giving up only 7 poits to Stony Brook the defensive numbers are not great this season. That was a strength under the old regime.
This is a good matchup for USU though because the Aztecs are very lame on offense. They are not going to run away with the game.
San Diego State Aztecs
The Aztecs are 3-0. It is hard to feel too good about it though as their wins have been against Weber State, UCLA and New Mexico State. It is debatable who gave them the best game. Sorry, UCLA dig. Too easy.
SDSU wants to run the ball but they have struggled with it so far this season. Top back Juwan Washington missed the last game and might miss that one too.
They need to run the ball well because the passing attack has been really bad this season. They made scheme changes this offseason and it is working out much as of yet.
What hasn’t changed is the defense. Since Rocky Long got there SDSU has been one of the best defensive teams in the country. That has been the case this season too but this will be the biggest challenge.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Over is 9-0 in USU last 9 games in September.
- USU are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
- Over is 20-8 in USU last 28 games as a favorite.
- SDSU are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
- SDSU are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Under is 25-10-1 in SDSU last 36 home games.
Free Week 4 NCAA Football Pick
I was surprised to see the Aztecs a home underdog in this spot. That screams buying opportunity to me.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: San Diego State +4
I want to be right in this spot of course but that doesn’t mean I am going to watch. The Aztecs are just about the win, not style points there.
Utah State is going to try and get the pace going a little faster for this one. It will be a struggle. These teams have not played since 2016.
Week 4 Free Score Prediction: San Diego State 24 – Utah State 21
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