Free NCAA Pick: Utah State vs. Boise State Odds
Looking for Utah State Aggies vs. Boise State Broncos free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Aggies taking on the Broncos on Saturday, October 5th at the Albertsons Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Utah State Boise State matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(1-3) Utah State Aggies vs. Boise State Broncos (3-1)
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Utah State +26.5 | Boise State -26.5
Week 6 CFB Moneyline Odds: Utah State +1368 | Boise State -4434
College Football Betting Total: O/U 66.5
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Boise State has been downright dominant, boasting a 23-5 record in their last 28 games. Oh, and did I mention they’re riding an 8-game win streak against Utah State? Yeah, this team practically has the keys to the Mountain West conference at this point.
Now, let’s talk about this Saturday. It’s time for No. 21 Boise State to kick off their conference campaign, and guess who’s coming to The Blue? Yep, Utah State. And if history tells us anything, it’s that Boise State doesn’t just beat Utah State — they own them.
The Broncos have been climbing the College Football Playoff ladder, leaping four spots in this week’s AP Top 25 to land at their highest rank since November 2020. The hype is real, people. So get ready for another high-flying, ground-pounding, smash-mouth Saturday on The Blue, where Boise is looking to extend that sweet, sweet win streak to nine and continue their march toward postseason glory.
Boise State enters this week six matchup with a 3-1 record, while Utah State is looking to improve on their 1-3 start to the season. Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, with FS2 handling the broadcast.
The over/under line is at 66.5 points, and the Broncos are favored by -26.5 points.
The current money line odds are +1368 for Utah State and -4434 for Boise State.
Oh, Utah State? They’re just here for the scenery.
Utah State Aggies
Utah State enters Week 6 against Boise State with a 1-3 record and ranks 124th in our CFB power rankings. Their chances of becoming bowl-eligible stand at just 4.4% for the rest of the season.
The Aggies have been favored in only one game this season, and their average scoring margin is -14.8 points per game. Against the spread, they are 1-2, with a 1-0 record at home and 0-2 on the road.
This week’s over/under line is set at 66.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. Utah State’s over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 57.8 points and an average line of 53.8 points.
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Utah State Aggies Stats
Utah State’s offense has struggled heading into week 6, averaging just 21.5 points per game, placing them 75th nationally. They are ranked 101st in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is only 27.3%, and their passer rating is 75, ranking 108th and 109th, respectively.
Quarterback Bryson Barnes has thrown for 524 yards with a passer rating of 72, completing 57% of his passes with four touchdowns and four interceptions. Utah State is 42nd in passing attempts, averaging 246 yards per game. Rahsul Faison leads the rushing attack with 395 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Jalen Royals has 280 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Utah State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 36.2 points per game. In their recent game against Temple, they gave up 45 points despite allowing just 219 total yards, including -5 rushing yards. Temple managed 224 passing yards and two touchdowns through the air.
Opponents have averaged 257.5 passing yards per game against Utah State, completing 67.2% of their passes. The Aggies have also allowed 199.2 rushing yards per game this season.
Boise State Broncos
Boise State enters Week 6 with a 3-1 record, and they are ranked 21st in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 54.6% chance of winning the Mountain West. Nationally, they have the 12th best odds of making the playoff at 38.1%.
The Broncos have been favored in two of their four games and are 2-0 as the favorite. They have a +17.8 average scoring margin this season and are 2-1 against the spread.
Boise State’s over/under record is 3-0, with their games averaging 77.8 points. This week’s line is set at 66.5 points, higher than their average line of 61.5 points.
Boise State Broncos Stats
Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, averaging 304.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 5th nationally. Ashton Jeanty has been a standout, rushing for 845 yards and 13 touchdowns, averaging 10 yards per carry. The Broncos are also 5th in scoring, with 47.8 points per game, and they are 4th in third-down conversions, converting 56.9% of their attempts. We have them ranked 7th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6.
Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 800 yards, with seven touchdowns and two interceptions, and Boise State is averaging 219.8 passing yards per game. Madsen has a passer rating of 94. Cameron Camper leads the receiving corps with 271 yards and three touchdowns.
Boise State’s defense has allowed 30 points per game this season, ranking 54th nationally. They’ve given up an average of 255.5 passing yards per game, placing them 133rd in the country, with opposing quarterbacks completing 69.2% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 105.8.
In their recent game against Washington State, Boise State allowed 24 points but held the Cougars to just 89 rushing yards on 39 attempts. Washington State threw for 327 yards, but Boise State’s defense also came away with an interception.
Utah State Aggies vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Utah State Aggies are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Boise State Broncos are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Utah State Aggies are 2-8 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Boise State Broncos have gone 3-6-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Utah State Aggies’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Boise State Broncos’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 6 NCAA Betting Prediction: Boise State -26.5
Utah State is the heavy underdog heading into their week six matchup against Boise State, with the Broncos favored by -26.5 points. We expect Utah State to lay down and not cover the spread, as we project a final score of 40-10 in favor of Boise State.
With the over/under line set at 66.5 points, our projection of 50 total points suggests that taking the UNDER is the best play for this game.
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Utah State Aggies vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
#BleedBlue | #BuiltDifferent pic.twitter.com/qXU3uUHd5i
— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) October 1, 2024
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