Free NCAA Football Prediction: Utah State vs. Alabama Odds
Looking for Utah State Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide free picks? College football betting sees the Aggies taking on the Crimson Tide on Saturday, September 3rd, at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, AL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Aggies Crimson Tide free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Utah State Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Utah State Aggies 1-0 vs. Alabama Crimson Tide 0-0
Date: Saturday, September 3rd
Time: 6:30 PM ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Aggies +41.5 / Crimson Tide -41.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Aggies +5000 / Crimson Tide -10000
NCAA Betting Total Odds: Total O/U 62
Utah State Aggies
This season, the Aggies have an overall record of 1-0 and have yet to play a game in the Mountain West. Last year, the Aggies were an above .500 team on the road, going 7-0. Across their last 3 road games, they had an ATS record of 3-0-0.
On offense, the Aggies averaged 33.23 points per game, placing them 31st in the NCAA. Utah State had strong production on the road, ranking 9th in scoring away from home. Although Utah State outscored their season scoring average in just 38.0% of their games, they had a record of 5-0 when doing so.
Heading into the season, the Aggies will hope for some improved play from their defense, as they ended last year ranked 58th at 25.31 points per game allowed. Utah State ended last year near the NCAA average in forced turnovers with 11 interceptions and 12 forced fumbles. Utah State will be looking to generate more defensive pressure this year, as they averaged just 2.23 sacks per game, placing them 58th in college football.
In their last 10 games, Utah State has covered the spread at a rate of 90.0%, while putting together a straight-up record of 9-1-0. The team averaged 34.1 points in these games while allowing 20.9. Their over-under record was 4-6-0.
Alabama Crimson Tide
The Crimson Tide finished last season with a strong overall record of 13-2. In addition, they also played well in their 5 non-conference games, going 5-0. Last year, the Crimson Tide were an above .500 team at home, going 8-0. Across their last 3 home games, they had an ATS record of 1-2-0.
The Crimson Tide offense had no problem scoring at home, as they ranked 5th in home scoring. Overall, the team averaged 42.54 points per game (4th). The Crimson Tide finished the year going 10-1 in games in which they scored more than the NCAA average (28.55).
This year, the Crimson Tide will look to once again play well defensively, as they finished the year ranked 20th in points allowed in 2021. On average, the unit gave up 20.23 points per game. The Crimson Tide defense would benefit from creating more turnovers this year, as their 15 interceptions and 5 fumbles, placed them 52nd in forced turnovers. One area that the unit excelled at was getting after the quarterback, ending the season with 46.0 sacks, good for 20th in the NCAA.
Against the spread, Alabama has gone 5-5-0 in their last 10 games. Over this same period, their straight up record is 8-2-0. They maintained a positive scoring differential in these games by averaging 37.0 per game and allowing 21.1. Their last 10 over-under record is 4-6-0.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Utah State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- Alabama is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games at home
- Alabama is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
4* Utah State vs. Alabama NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
This week, the Crimson Tide will be facing a Utah State defense that finished 85th in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 351.09 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
This week, the Aggies will be facing an Alabama defense that finished 102nd in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 304.18 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
4* Utah State Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide NCAA Betting Pick: Aggies ATS
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