Free NCAA Pick: Utah State vs. Air Force Odds
Looking for Utah State Aggies vs. Air Force Falcons free NCAA Week 3 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Aggies taking on the Falcons on Friday, September 15th at the Falcon Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Utah State Air Force matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(1-1) Utah State Aggies vs. Air Force Falcons (2-0)
Date: Friday, September 15th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Falcon Stadium
NCAA Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: Utah State +9.5 | Air Force -9.5
Week 3 CFB Moneyline Odds: Utah State +290 | Air Force -383
College Football Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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The last time Utah State and Air Force faced off came last year, ending in a 34-27 win for Utah State.
This week in a thrilling Friday night showdown at Falcon Stadium we get a rematch, as the Air Force Falcons (2-0) will go head-to-head with MWC rivals, the Utah State Aggies (1-1).
AF is riding high and enter this clash as formidable favorites, carrying a 9.5-point spread. The game’s over/under stands at 46.5, promising an exciting battle between these Mountain West contenders.
In the last game game, Utah State threw for 215 yards while averaging 11.9 yards per completion.
Air Force ran for 264 compared to 199 for Utah State.
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Utah State Aggies
The Aggies are looking to ride the momentum of their convincing 78-28 win over Idaho State.
Having been favored in each of their first two games, Utah State has yet to cover the spread. Their ATS record is 0-1 on an average scoring margin of +20 points per contest.
Through two games, the average over/under line in Utah State’s games is 43.5 points. Their games have averaged a combined 72 points leading to an OU record of 0-1.
Utah State Aggies Stats
In the rushing game, the Aggies are currently 39th in college football with 65 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 248 rushing yards per game, putting them 14th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 38 passes and 212 yards per game.
When it comes to scoring, they are 16th, averaging 46 points per game.
The Aggies defense heads into this week’s matchup with three sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 26 points per game (38th). In the pass defense department, they’re 114th nationally, giving up 259.5 passing yards per game.
Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Utah State’s defense is allowing 94.5 rushing yards per contest.
Air Force Falcons
Air Force are hoping that that their defense will come up with another big performance, as they are coming off a 13-3 win over Sam Houston.
On the spread, Air Force has been favored in all of their games so far and are a perfect 0-0 vs. the spread. The Falcons come into this week’s game with a scoring margin of +22.5 points per contest.
Over two games, the average over/under line for Air Force’s games has been nan points.
The total score in these matchups has averaged 32.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 0-0.
Air Force Falcons Stats
Air Force comes into the game with an offense averaging 27.5, which places them at 47th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 159th nationally, with an average of 54.5 passing yards.
In the rushing department, they’re 4th in the nation, with 107 rushing attempts per game for the season.
Coming into this week’s game, the Air Force defense is 3rd in points allowed at 5 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 78.5 passing yards per game vs. the unit (1st).
On the ground, they are giving up 44 rushing yards, putting them 5th in college football.
Utah State Aggies vs. Air Force Falcons NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Aggies are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Falcons are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Aggies are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Falcons have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Aggies’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Falcons’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Utah State vs. Air Force Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggies | +295 | +287 | +9.5 | +9.5 |
| Falcons | -385 | -381 | -9.5 | -9.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NCAA Betting Prediction: Utah State +9.5
Utah State proved their resilience last season by overcoming an 11-point underdog status to defeat Air Force, 34-27, leaving the Falcons with a bitter taste.
This year, the dynamics may have shifted, but don’t count out the Aggies in the ATS showdown; they have a knack for staying competitive and are poised to give the Falcons a run for their money.
Heading into this week’s matchup Air Force’s offense has struggled to convert on third downs.
I don’t anticipate a sudden turnaround, and my pick is to take Utah State at +9.5.
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Utah State Aggies vs. Air Force Falcons NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
📺 CBSSN pic.twitter.com/vRl7MD5XNr
— Air Force Football (@AF_Football) September 13, 2023
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