Free NCAA Pick: USC vs. Minnesota Odds
Looking for USC Trojans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Trojans taking on the Golden Gophers on Saturday, October 5th at the Huntington Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this USC Minnesota matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(3-1) USC Trojans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (2-3)
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) USC -8.5 | Minnesota +8.5
Week 6 CFB Moneyline Odds: USC -329 | Minnesota +258
College Football Betting Total: O/U 51.5
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USC holds the upper hand in their all-time series against Minnesota, boasting a 6-1-1 record. Their first face-off dates back to 1953 when USC took a 17-7 win in Los Angeles, and the last time these two teams met, USC emerged victorious again, 19-11, in 2011.
But now, as Saturday evening approaches, USC is looking to push their record to 4-1 overall and 2-1 in Big Ten play. Sounds straightforward, right? Not so fast. Sure, the Golden Gophers aren’t ranked, but that doesn’t mean they’re a pushover.
Just last week, they nearly upset No. 12 Michigan, losing by a mere three points in a heart-stopping 27-24 battle. So yeah, this isn’t a walk in the park for the Trojans. A trip to Minnesota?
They’re going to have to bring their A-game and then some.
USC is the heavy favorite in this week six matchup against Minnesota, with the point spread sitting at -8.5 in favor of the Trojans. The game is set for 7:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th, and will be played at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.
The over/under line is currently at 51.5 points. The Trojans are 3-1 on the season, while the Gophers are 2-3 heading into this one.
BTN will be handling the television broadcast. Buckle up, because this one could get wild.
USC Trojans
USC enters Week 6 with a 3-1 record, ranked 11th in our power rankings. They’ve been perfect at home (3-0) but are winless on the road (0-1). The Trojans have a 97.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 4.5% shot at winning the Big Ten. Their odds of making the College Football Playoff stand at 21.6%.
Against the spread, USC is 3-1, with a +17.2 average scoring margin. They’ve covered in all three home games but are 0-1 ATS on the road. As favorites, they are 2-1 ATS, and they’ve gone 1-0 against the spread as underdogs.
USC’s over/under record is 2-2, with their games averaging 51.2 points. The average over/under line for their games has been 56.5 points, and this week’s line is set at 51.5 points.
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USC Trojans Stats
USC’s offense is averaging 34.2 points per game heading into week 6, placing them 33rd in the nation. They are ranked 34th in our offensive power rankings. The Trojans have been pass-heavy, ranking 19th in passing attempts, with 43.5 per game. They are 15th in completions, averaging 28.5, and 29th in passing yards, with 316 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 49.1%, also 19th nationally. USC’s rushing game ranks 98th, with 146 yards per game.
Miller Moss leads USC’s passing attack with 1,198 yards and a passer rating of 98. He has completed 65.4% of his passes, throwing eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Woody Marks is the leading rusher with 334 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. Ja’Kobi Lane leads the receivers with 221 yards and four touchdowns on 19 catches.
USC’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 17 points per game. In their recent game against Wisconsin, they gave up 21 points but limited the Badgers to 286 total yards, including 106 rushing yards on 25 attempts and 180 passing yards, while also forcing an interception.
Opponents have averaged 149.2 rushing yards per game on 29.5 attempts against USC, while quarterbacks have posted a 74 passer rating, averaging 155.8 passing yards per game. Despite ranking 23rd in passing yards allowed, USC’s defense has allowed a 63% completion rate, which ranks 103rd nationally.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Heading into Week 6 against USC, Minnesota holds a 2-3 record and ranks 56th in our power rankings. They have a 31.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Golden Gophers are 1-2 this season.
Minnesota’s ATS record stands at 2-1-1, with a +10.6 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in just one game, going 1-0 ATS as the favorite.
Their over/under record is 2-2, with an average line of 41.6 points. This week’s line is 51.5 points, and their games have averaged 41.4 points.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Stats
Heading into week 6, Minnesota’s offense is averaging 26 points per game, placing them 65th in the nation. They are ranked 87th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Max Brosmer has thrown for 1,094 yards, and the team is 30th in passing attempts per game. Minnesota ranks 22nd in completions, averaging 21 per game, and they are 24th in completion percentage at 66.5%.
Brosmer has six touchdown passes and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 89. Leading the rushing attack, Darius Taylor has 258 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Daniel Jackson leads the receivers with 326 yards on 28 catches and has one touchdown.
Minnesota’s defense has been a strong point this season, ranking 23rd nationally by allowing just 15.4 points per game. In their recent matchup against Michigan, they gave up 27 points but limited the Wolverines to 241 total yards, including just 86 passing yards, while forcing one interception.
Opposing quarterbacks have struggled against Minnesota, averaging a passer rating of 47.4, the fourth-lowest in the country. The Golden Gophers rank third nationally in passing yards allowed, giving up just 96.8 yards per game. On the ground, they’ve allowed 130 rushing yards per game.
USC Trojans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The USC Trojans are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Minnesota Golden Gophers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the USC Trojans are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Minnesota Golden Gophers have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the USC Trojans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Minnesota Golden Gophers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 6 NCAA Betting Prediction: Minnesota +8.5
USC is favored by -8.5 points in their week six matchup against Minnesota, and we have a projected score of 30-23 in favor of the Trojans. However, with Minnesota being the home underdog, we like their chances to cover the spread.
For the over/under, our projection of 53 points is just above the current line of 51.5 points, so we lean towards the over as the best play for this matchup.
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USC Trojans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Suited for Saturday Night 👀 #RTB #SkiUMah #Gophers pic.twitter.com/qmBbjaGeHj
— Minnesota Football (@GopherFootball) October 3, 2024
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