Free NCAA Pick: USC vs. California Odds
Looking for USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears free NCAA Week 9 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Trojans taking on the Golden Bears on Saturday, October 28th at the California Memorial Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this USC California matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(6-2) USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears (3-4)
Date: Saturday, October 28th
Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA
NCAA Week 9 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) USC -11 | California +11
Week 9 CFB Moneyline Odds: USC -457 | California +335
College Football Betting Total: O/U 67.5
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Get ready for another exciting week of college football action! We have an intriguing matchup on Saturday between the (6-2) USC Trojans and the California Golden Bears (3-4). The game kicks off at 4:00 ET at the California Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, CA, and you can catch it on the Pac-12 Network.
In terms of NCAA football betting odds, USC is favored by 11 points. For those looking at the moneyline, USC is at -457, while California stands at +335. If you’re into totals betting, the Over/Under is set at 67.5 points.
Looking at the history between these teams, USC has a dominant 71-32-5 lead in their series with Cal. This marks their 110th meeting, making it USC’s most-played opponent.
In recent games, California has faced some struggles, losing two in a row and three out of their last four conference matchups. They had a bye last week following a 34-14 loss to Utah. On the other hand, in week 8, USC suffered a close 34-32 defeat against Utah.
The last time USC and California faced off came last year, ending in a 41-35 win for USC. The USC offense had a big game, putting up 41 points on 515 yards of total offense. For the game, the Trojans picked up 24 first downs while going 5/12 on 3rd down.
Defensively, they gave up 406 passing yards and 63 yards rushing.
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USC Trojans
USC is coming off a 34-32 loss to Utah and were unable to mount a comeback after trailing by 11 heading into the 4th quarter.
Against the spread, USC has gone 2-5 this season.
The Trojans have been favored six times compared to one game as the underdog.
So far this season, the average over/under line for USC’s games has been 64.6 points. The Trojans have an over/under record of 6-1 heading into this week’s game.
USC Trojans Stats
On offense, the Trojans come in with the 18th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 323.2 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 65th in terms of attempts.
The Trojans defense will take the field with 23 sacks and are 1st QB hurries.
When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 30.5 points per game (123rd). Against the pass, the team is 121st in the NCAA, allowing 243.4 passing yards per game.
Additionally, USC’s run defense has 165 rushing yards per contest.
In terms of rushing, the Trojans’ offense managed three rushing touchdowns against Utah and covered 145 yards on 23 attempts.
However, their passing game didn’t yield a touchdown, producing 256 yards with 34 passes attempted.
California Golden Bears
The Golden Bears’ most recent game came against Utah, leading to a 34-14 loss. California trailed by -14 at the half vs. the Utes.
So far, California has been favored two times and the underdog in four games.
This has led to an ATS record of 2-4 and an average scoring differential of -1.3.
This season, California holds an over/under record of 4-2. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 61 points, with the typical over/under line set at 50.8 points.
California Golden Bears Stats
The Golden Bears come into their matchup vs. USC 29th in college football at 279 rushing attempts per game.
This has translated to an average of 194 rushing yards per game, placing them 26th nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 34.1 times each game, accumulating an average of 212 passing yards.
In terms of scoring, they stand 47th, with 29.9 points per game.
The Golden Bears’ offense finished with 254 yards of offense against Utah. 66 of these yards came on the ground compared to 188 through the air. On third down they went 4/12 and threw for two touchdowns.
On defense, the Golden Bears defense has six sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. So far, teams are scoring 31.1 points per game against them (111th). In terms of pass defense, they’re ranked 126th in the NCAA, allowing 247.4 passing yards per game.
Moreover, California’s run defense is allowing 145 rushing yards per contest.
USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Trojans are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Golden Bears are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Trojans are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Golden Bears have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Trojans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Golden Bears’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
USC vs. California Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trojans | -420 | -457 | -11 | -11 |
| Golden Bears | +310 | +335 | +11 | +11 |
4* Free Week 9 NCAA Betting Prediction: California +11
Is there a song called “The Battle Of California?” No? Ok…was just thinking out loud.
I’m going with California to cover on the spread at +11. The California rushing offense is likely to exploit a USC defense, that didn’t defend well against the run in their last game vs. Utah.
USC are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Cal.
SC is overrated and you know it.
Lock in Cal at +11.
I also like 66 and UNDER for a total.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of CAL’s last 18 games against Southern Cal.
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USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
🐻Go Bears!
https://twitter.com/CalFootball/status/1716470445917282684
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