Free Week 12 Prediction: Running Rebels vs Lobos Odds
Looking for UNLV Running Rebels vs. New Mexico Lobos free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Running Rebels taking on the Lobos on Friday November 17 at Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this UNLV New Mexico free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(4-6) UNLV Running Rebels vs. New Mexico Lobos (3-7)
Date: Friday November 17th
Time: 9:30 pm EST
Venue: Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico
NCAA Football Spread: New Mexico -2.5
NCAA Betting Total: 56
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Success is relative to your station in college football. For a program like UNLV winning out and making it to a bowl game would be a tremendous step for the program.
That ship has sailed for the Lobos who will look to salute their followers with a win in their final home game. As the favourite it is within their grasp.
UNLV is trying to change the culture of the program. I wouldn’t say they are killing it in recruiting but they are able to bring in some athletes so they can really compete.
Lexington Thomas is 17th in the country in rushing and 4th in scores. He still has one more year of eligibility too. He gives the Rebs consistency on offense.
The recruiting success they have had has yet to manifest itself on defense. UNLV’s defensive numbers are rough including allowing 31 to a pretty lame BYU team last week, at home.
New Mexico Lobos
The Lobos won their first Mountain West game, upsetting Air Force but since then it has been a string of losses. They just want to close on a positive note.
New Mexico is a classic option team. Those still have success in the college game but you are not going to be really good unless you have a dynamic QB operating it. They are searching for that guy.
Even though all that running should shorten the game the Lobos’ defense gets roughed up most of the time. It is not likely either team’s defense is going to offer much in the way of resistance.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
Over is 7-0 in Rebels last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Lobos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Lobos last 4 conference games.
Lobos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
UNLV has all of the motivation for this one with their bowl status in jeopardy. Still it is tough to win on the road against a team closing their season. That is why the Lobos are favoured.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: UNLV +2.5
Odds are whoever wins covers in this spot given the small number. I am little anxious about the fact that UNLV may be without their primary QB but if they are solid they can overcome that.
This one seems likely to come down to the final possession and it could be a grinder. I give the talent edge to the visitors and hope that with the extra motivation is enough to win the day.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: UNLV 38 – New Mexico 31
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