Free Week 6 Prediction: Rebels vs Aztecs Odds
Looking for UNLV Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs free picks? Week 6 College football betting sees the Rebels taking on the Aztecs on Saturday October 8th at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
(2-3) UNLV Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs (3-1)
Date: Saturday, October 8th
Time: 10:30 pm EST
Venue: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California
NCAA Football Spread: San Diego State -14
NCAA Betting Total: 54.5
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San Diego State surprisingly fell apart in the fourth quarter on the road last week at South Alabama. It may have dashed their small playoff hopes but did nothing for their conference title hopes.
This is their first MWC game and I expect a focused team, ready to kick some butt.
At UNLV they are just trying to get relevant on the gridiron.
A couple of wins is a good start and they have already bagged their first conference opponent – Hawaii. Last year they were crushed in this matchup so just being more respectable is a decent goal.
The Rebs know that offense gains interest so they are looking to establish that side of the program and thus far they are getting some results.
They are 9th in the country rushing the ball thanks to RB Lexington Thomas, who has three 100 yard+ games already. The passing game is not nearly as far along and they lost junior Johnny Stanton a couple of weeks ago.
The Nebraska transfer was struggling but had potential.
UNLV might have a chance in this one because they are in the Top 50 against the rush. That is the Aztecs preferred method of moving the ball and if they can slow them down they have a shot.
They have not played a lot of run happy teams though as the toughest opponents on their schedule to date – CMU and UCLA – are more pass happy teams.
If they can’t slow them down this one could get ugly once again.
San Diego State Aztecs
The Aztecs took a quarter off against South Alabama and it killed their bracket buster chances. Now they have to bounce back so it doesn’t torpedo their MWC season as well.
Coming into the year they were perceived the top team in the conference and outside those 15 minutes they still look pretty strong. Especially, mighty mite Donnel Pumphrey who has 750 yards rushing in just 4 games.
He killed UNLV last year, averaging almost 10 yards per carry.
When you throwout the shutout of New Hampshire in the opener the defense has underperformed.
They have given up at least 28 points in all other contests and the defense was supposed to be the strength of the team, allowing it to take a more patient approach when they have the ball.
It is a simple formula, but one that worked to perfection last season.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- The San Diego State Aztecs are ranked 73 on offense, averaging 411.0 yards per game.
- The Aztecs are averaging 234.8 yards rushing and 176.2 yards passing so far this season.
- The UNLV Rebels are ranked 58 on offense, averaging 435.2 yards per game.
- The Rebels are averaging 273.0 yards rushing and 162.2 yards passing so far this season.
- Over is 4-0 in Rebels last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rebels last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Rebels are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Aztecs are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Aztecs are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Aztecs are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Free Week 6 NCAA Football Prediction
I am still mostly convinced that SDSU is the best team in the MWC. I like coach Rocky Long and expect the Aztecs to be on point in this one.
Look for them to come out strong and coast for an easy win and cover.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: San Diego State -14
The MWC needs a few more quality teams so if UNLV is on the rise it is a good thing. I am not sure we will know after this one though. I like the fact that they can run the ball but that is a tough way to attack a good defense like the Aztecs.
Week 6 Free Score Prediction: San Diego State 42 – UNLV 17
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