Free NCAA Pick: UNLV vs. Boise State Odds
Looking for UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos free 2024 MWC picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Rebels taking on the Broncos on Friday, December 6th at the Albertsons Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this UNLV Boise State 2024 Mountain West Championship Game matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
(10-2) UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos (11-1)
2024 Mountain West Championship Game
Date: Friday, December 6th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Week 15 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) UNLV +4 | Boise State -4
Week 15 CFB Moneyline Odds: UNLV +152 | Boise State -186
College Football Betting Total: O/U 58.5
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Buckle up, college football fans, because Week 15 is bringing the heat with the 2024 Mountain West Championship showdown! It’s the (10-2) UNLV Rebels vs. the (11-1) Boise State Broncos, and the stage is set for an epic clash.
FOX will be covering the week 15 matchup between the UNLV and Boise State, set to kick off at 8:00 ET from Albertsons Stadium in Boise.
The Broncos are the -4 point favorites at home, with the over/under line currently at 58.5 points.
The Rebels have been road warriors, boasting an 8-0 streak away from home and a rock-solid 10-3 ATS record as underdogs in their last 13.
Meanwhile, Boise’s December struggles loom large—they’re a rough 1-6 ATS in their last seven games during this month.
UNLV Rebels
UNLV enters Week 15 with a 10-2 record and a perfect 6-0 mark on the road. They are 100% bowl eligible and have a 31.5% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Rebels have been favored in seven games this season, going 7-0 as the favorite.
UNLV’s ATS record stands at 6-4, with a +16.7 average scoring margin. They are 4-2 against the spread on the road and 2-2 at home. As the favorite, they’ve covered four times in seven games.
This week’s over/under line is set at 58.5 points. UNLV’s games have averaged 60.7 points, with their over/under record at 4-6 and an average line of 57.3 points this season.
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UNLV Rebels Stats
UNLV’s offense has been dominant on the ground this season, ranking 3rd in the nation with 259.2 rushing yards per game. They are 5th in rushing attempts, averaging 44.3 per game, and are 7th in scoring, with 38.7 points per game. Jai’Den Thomas leads the rushing attack with 833 yards, 7 touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. UNLV is ranked 46th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 15.
Quarterback Hajj-Malik Williams has thrown for 1,735 yards, with 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 109. Ricky White III has 1,020 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns on 75 catches. UNLV ranks 13th nationally in passer rating and 42.4% on third-down conversions.
UNLV’s defense has been strong against the run this season, ranking 15th nationally by allowing just 101.7 rushing yards per game. In their latest game, they held Nevada to 67 rushing yards on 28 attempts. The Rebels also forced an interception in the game.
Opponents have averaged a 54.8% completion rate and 248.2 passing yards per game against UNLV’s secondary. This season, quarterbacks have a passer rating of 73.7 when facing the Rebels, which ranks 27th in the country.
Boise State Broncos
Boise State enters Week 15 with an 11-1 record, ranked 27th in our power rankings. They are a lock for bowl eligibility and have a 68.5% chance of winning the Mountain West. Nationally, they have the 8th best odds to make the playoff at 68.6%.
The Broncos are 5-0 at home this season and have been favored in 10 of their 12 games. They are 10-0 as the favorite, with an average scoring margin of +17.4 points per game.
Their over/under record is 6-5, with an average line of 60.6 points. Boise State games have averaged 63.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 58.5 points.
Boise State Broncos Stats
Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, ranking 4th in the nation with 255.5 rushing yards per game. Ashton Jeanty has been the focal point, amassing 2,288 rushing yards and scoring 28 touchdowns, averaging 7 yards per carry. The Broncos are 3rd in scoring, putting up 40.6 points per game, and they are 6th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 15.
Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 2,556 yards with 21 touchdowns and just 3 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 102. Boise State ranks 61st in passing attempts per game, and they are 69th in passing yards. They have converted 49.4% of their third-down opportunities, which ranks 7th nationally.
Boise State’s defense enters this week ranked 38th nationally, allowing 23.2 points per game. Against Oregon State, they gave up just 18 points, forcing 13 first downs and 345 total yards. The Broncos allowed 119 rushing yards on 19 carries and 226 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 107.1 rushing yards per game against Boise State, the 21st-lowest mark in the country. However, the Broncos have struggled against the pass, ranking 146th by allowing 258.2 passing yards per game.
UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The UNLV Rebels are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Boise State Broncos are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the UNLV Rebels are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Boise State Broncos have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the UNLV Rebels’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Boise State Broncos’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 15 NCAA Betting Prediction: UNLV +4
With UNLV’s 4-2 ATS road record and Boise State’s shaky 3-3 ATS as home favorites, this matchup screams potential for the Rebels to cover.
We like UNLV’s chances to pull off the upset as they head into their week 15 matchup against Boise State as the +4 point underdogs. Our projected final score is 27-26 in favor of the Rebels, making them a strong bet to cover the spread and finally put some demons in the closet.
For the over/under, with the line set at 58.5 points, our projection of 53 combined points suggests taking the under.
Keep your eyes on the live odds and get ready for some high-stakes Mountain West magic!
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UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Welcome to
✍️ Chase Hatch#BleedBlue | #BuiltDifferent pic.twitter.com/vbQIt9u2pz
— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) December 4, 2024
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