Free NCAA Pick: UMass vs. Liberty Odds
Looking for UMass Minutemen vs. Liberty Flames free NCAA Week 12 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Minutemen taking on the Flames on Saturday, November 18th at the Williams Stadium (VA). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this UMass Liberty matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(3-7) UMass Minutemen vs. Liberty Flames (10-0)
Date: Saturday, November 18th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, VA
NCAA Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) UMass +27.5 | Liberty -27.5
Week 12 CFB Moneyline Odds: UMass +1642 | Liberty -9571
College Football Betting Total: O/U 62
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Liberty currently holds the bragging rights over UMass as in their most recent head to head matchup, they won 42-24. The Liberty offense had a big game, putting up 42 points on 453 yards of total offense.
For the game, the Flames picked up 21 first downs while going 5/13 on 3rd down.
Defensively, they gave up 88 passing yards and 145 yards rushing.
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UMass Minutemen
UMass’ most recent game ended in a 31-21 win over Merrimack College. This week, the Minutemen will once again look to get off to a strong start, as they took a seven-point leading into halftime vs. Merrimack College.
Against the spread, UMass has gone 4-5 this season. The Minutemen have been favored two times compared to seven games as the underdog.
The average point total in UMass’ 10 games is currently 60.9 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 6-3 for the Minutemen.
UMass Minutemen Stats
The Minutemen are currently ranked 60th in college football with 342 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 155.1 rushing yards per game, which is 69th in the nation. Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 27.7 attempts per game and gain an average of 204.6 passing yards. Overall, they hold the 76th spot with 23.5 points per game.
The UMass defense, going into this week’s game, holds 145th place for points allowed, allowing 37.4 points per game. Opponents have been gaining an average of 207.5 passing yards each game against them (61st in the country). On the ground, they’re yielding 210.2 rushing yards, ranking them 158th in college football.
The Minutemen’s ended with 20 pass attempts vs Merrimack College, racking up 104 yards and one score. In the rushing department, they averaged 7.1 yards per carry, resulting in three rushing touchdowns.
Liberty Flames
Liberty is hoping to cruise to another easy win, as in their most recent game they took down Old Dominion by a score of 38-10.
Liberty heads into this week’s matchup with an ATS record of 7-1. So far, they have been favored in every game and have an average scoring margin of +18.3 points per contest.
So far this season, Liberty boasts an over/under record of 5-3. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 59.7 points, while the average over/under line has been 56.3 points.
Liberty Flames Stats
Liberty’s offense has put up an average of 39 points per game, placing them 10th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 218.4 passing yards on average, ranking 75th in the nation. On the ground, they’re holding the 1st position in rushing yards, with 474 rushing attempts per game this season.
Offensively, the Flames finished with two scores on the ground against Old Dominion while running for 230 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Liberty scored three times and threw the ball 24 times for 225 yards.
On defense, the Flames defense has 22 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. So far, teams are scoring 20.7 points per game against them (76th). In terms of pass defense, they’re ranked 100th in the NCAA, allowing 233 passing yards per game. Moreover, Liberty’s run defense is allowing 114.4 rushing yards per contest.
UMass Minutemen vs. Liberty Flames NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Minutemen are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Flames are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Minutemen are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Flames have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Minutemen’s last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Flames’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
UMass vs. Liberty Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutemen | +1280 | +1642 | +27.5 | +27.5 |
| Flames | -6500 | -9571 | -27.5 | -27.5 |
4* Free Week 12 NCAA Betting Prediction: Liberty -27.5
I like UMass’ chances of covering in this matchup against Liberty.
Liberty will win straight up obviously. The team’s defense played well in their previous game and I see them carrying this over into this week.
On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 62. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 65 points.
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UMass Minutemen vs. Liberty Flames NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
& Pepper?
Shining on the brightest stage ⭐️@07ksalt is a Maxwell Award Semifinalist. pic.twitter.com/FhmtFLvJ1V
— Liberty Football (@LibertyFootball) November 13, 2023
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