Free NCAA Pick: UCLA vs. Penn State Odds
Looking for UCLA Bruins vs. Penn State Nittany Lions free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Bruins taking on the Nittany Lions on Saturday, October 5th at the Beaver Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this UCLA Penn State matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(1-3) UCLA Bruins vs. Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0)
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) UCLA +27.5 | Penn State -27.5
Week 6 CFB Moneyline Odds: UCLA +1997 | Penn State -8131
College Football Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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It’s been decades since Penn State last clashed with UCLA on the football field, but buckle up, because 2024 is bringing a showdown like no other!
The Nittany Lions have taken on the Bruins six times before, but the most recent battle dates all the way back to 1968. At home in Beaver Stadium, Penn State only managed one win out of four games against UCLA. But don’t let that old stat fool you—the game has changed, and so has the stadium.
The last time UCLA walked into Beaver Stadium was in 1967, and what they’ll face in 2024 is a totally different scene. Beaver Stadium is now one of the most electric environments in college football. The crowd, the energy, the sheer magnitude of it all—it’s going to be an unforgettable experience, and UCLA better be ready for what’s coming!
At 12:00 ET, Penn State will host UCLA at Beaver Stadium in University Park for this week six matchup. The game can be seen on FOX, and the Penn State Nittany Lions are coming in with a 4-0 record this season. UCLA is currently 1-3.
The over/under line is 44.5 points, and Penn State is favored by -27.5 points.
UCLA Bruins
UCLA heads into Week 6 against Penn State with a 1-3 record, placing them 78th in our power rankings. They have a 2.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Bruins are 0-2 at home but 1-1 on the road this season.
UCLA is 2-2 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -16 points per game. They’ve been favored in just one game, going 0-1 ATS as the favorite and 2-1 ATS as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 44.5 points. UCLA’s games have averaged 45.5 points, and their average over/under line has been 52.6 points, with a 1-3 record against the total.
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UCLA Bruins Stats
UCLA’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 14.8 points per game, placing them 93rd in the nation. They are ranked 100th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Their third-down conversion rate is only 27.9%, and they are 128th in rushing, with 58.8 yards per game.
Quarterback Ethan Garbers has thrown for 808 yards with a passer rating of 65. He has three touchdowns and six interceptions. UCLA ranks 97th in passing yards per game. T.J. Harden leads the rushing attack with 125 yards. Rico Flores Jr. has 187 receiving yards and one touchdown.
UCLA’s defense has allowed 30.8 points per game this season, including 34 points in their recent 34-13 loss to Oregon. They gave up 434 total yards, with 278 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, but did manage to force one interception.
Opponents have averaged 291 passing yards per game against UCLA, completing 70.4% of their passes. On the ground, UCLA’s defense has allowed just 108.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 33rd nationally.
Penn State Nittany Lions
At 4-0, Penn State is set to face UCLA in Week 6. They are 3-0 at home and hold the 8th spot in our power rankings. The Nittany Lions have a 100% chance of reaching bowl eligibility and a 15.4% chance of winning the Big Ten. They also have a 60.3% chance of making the CFB playoff, which ranks 7th in the nation.
Penn State’s average scoring margin is +24.8 points per game, and they are 2-2 against the spread this season. At home, they are 1-2 ATS, while they are 1-0 on the road. They’ve been favored in all four games so far.
The over/under line for this week is 44.5 points. Penn State’s games have averaged 47.8 points, with an average line of 51.5 points. Their over/under record is 1-3, with their games falling short of the line by an average of 3.8 points.
Penn State Nittany Lions Stats
Penn State’s offense is ranked 18th in our power rankings heading into week 6, and they are averaging 36.2 points per game, placing them 26th in the nation. Their rushing game has been the focal point, with 254 yards per game on 42.5 attempts. Nicholas Singleton leads the team with 408 rushing yards, averaging 7 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns.
Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 864 yards, with eight touchdowns and one interception, giving him a passer rating of 135. Penn State ranks first in passer rating nationally and is 10th in completion percentage at 71.1%. They are also converting 51.2% of their third-down attempts, ranking 12th in the country.
Penn State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking 6th nationally by allowing just 11.5 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, giving up only 78.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 9th in the country. Opposing quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 63.2 and a completion percentage of 48.4% against Penn State, the 8th-lowest in college football.
In their recent game, Penn State’s defense allowed just 7 points and limited Illinois to 34 rushing yards on 32 attempts. They also forced an interception and gave up 185 passing yards in the win.
UCLA Bruins vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The UCLA Bruins are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Penn State Nittany Lions are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the UCLA Bruins are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Penn State Nittany Lions have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the UCLA Bruins’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Penn State Nittany Lions’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 6 NCAA Betting Prediction: Penn State -27.5
We have Penn State winning this matchup 42-13 over UCLA, and with the current -27.5 point spread in their favor, we would take the Nittany Lions to cover as the home favorite.
For the over/under, with the line set at 44.5 points, our projection of 53 total points suggests that taking the over is the best play.
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UCLA Bruins vs. Penn State Nittany Lions NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Saturday → ◻️🟦◻️🟦◻️🟦◻️https://t.co/YkfxJfZvPd pic.twitter.com/VgusomTKjz
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) October 3, 2024
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