Free Week 10 Prediction: Knights vs Mustangs Odds
Looking for UCF Knights vs. SMU Mustangs free picks? Week 10 betting sees the Knights taking on the Mustangs on Saturday November 4th at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, University Park, Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this UCF SMU free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 10
(7-0) UCF Knights vs. SMU Mustangs (6-2)
Date: Saturday, November 4
Time: 7:15 pm EST
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, University Park, Texas
NCAA Football Spread: UCF -14.5
NCAA Betting Total: 75.5
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South Florida fell from the ranks of the unbeaten leaving UCF as the lone Group of Five with a chance of crashing the playoffs. It is a slim one but until they lose you have to have some hope.
It helps that this game is against an SMU team that is 6-2 an not 2-6. On the road the Knights still have a chance to put up a result that forces the committee to look at them closely.
The Knights did what they were supposed to do in pummeling FCS Austin Peay last week. They scored 73 points in a game that was never in doubt. Now on to the next victim.
McKenzie Milton continues to pile up gaudy stats but I am not sure people realize how good he has been this season. He is completing 72% of his passes – 93% a week ago. He is not the pro prospect Blake Bortles was but the offense works even better.
Last week was their first ATS loss of the season as the defense gave up more than you would think to the Governors. No real reason for concern, it is hard to have peak motivation for a game like that.
SMU also has a high powered offense – 9th at 42ppg. They are very pass focused but they can run the ball. UCF is going to have to stop them as they are well coached too.
Ben Hicks is lighting up opponents this season and he even has options when NFL bound Courtland Sutton is covered. Sutton is a difference maker though and requires additional attention.
The defense will probably be the real difference maker though. If they can stop folks they have a chance but that is not exactly their specialty. They will need a really good game plan.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
- Knights are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Under is 5-1 in Knights last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Mustangs last 5 games overall.
- Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Free Week 10 NCAA Football Pick
There is every reason and then some for UCF to be prohibitive favourites. I am curious to see if the fact that USF loss affects the psyche of this team. These are kids remember.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Over 75.5
This total seems a little light given the offensive firepower. Their scoring totals to date would make this for 90 but I think it could cover 80 easily.
It is still kind of early in the week. I expect that this number will climb as the market looks more closely at these two teams.
Week 10 Free Score Prediction: UCF 49 – SMU 33
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