Free NCAA Pick: UCF vs. Kansas State Odds
Looking for UCF Knights vs. Kansas State Wildcats free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Knights taking on the Wildcats on Saturday, September 23rd at the Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this UCF Kansas State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(3-0) UCF Knights vs. Kansas State Wildcats (2-1)
Date: Saturday, September 23rd
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Bill Snyder Family Stadium
NCAA Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) UCF +7 | Kansas State -7
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: UCF +211 | Kansas State -266
College Football Betting Total: O/U 57.5
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In this week’s NCAA football matchup, the undefeated (3-0) UCF Knights are set to clash with the (2-1) Kansas State Wildcats at the Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas.
The game will be broadcast on Fox Sports 1. The current betting odds for this game are UCF +7 and Kansas State -7 in terms of the point spread, while the moneyline odds stand at UCF +211 and Kansas State -266. The over/under for the game is set at 57.5 points.
Both teams have performed well against the spread this season, with K-State at 2-1 ATS and UCF also holding a 2-1 ATS record.
In terms of their series history, Kansas State leads with a 1-0 record, with their last meeting resulting in a 17-13 victory for the Wildcats back in 2010. While the odds suggest a close game with the Wildcats winning by a field goal, UCF’s explosive style of play could lead to an unexpected outcome.
Stay tuned to our College football handicapping blog for insights and updates on this exciting matchup!
UCF and Kansas State did not have any head-to-head matchups last season.
But over the last three times playing each other, UCF has a record of 2-1. The over/under record in these games was 2-1 with the teams averaging 78 points per game combined.
UCF went 2-1 vs. the spread.
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UCF Knights
UCF is hoping to cruise to another easy win, as in their most recent game they took down Villanova by a score of 48-14.
Through three games, UCF have been the underdog in all of their games. So far, they have a scoring differential of +28 and are a perfect 2-0 vs. the spread.
UCF has an over/under record of 1-1 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 52.7 points with the average over/under line being 56.2 points.
UCF Knights Stats
Heading into their matchup vs. Kansas State, the Knights’ offense is averaging 299.3 rushing yards per game, along with 6 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 2nd rank in rushing yards and 2nd rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 318.3 yards per game.
In terms of scoring, UCF is at 40.7 points per game, which is 17th in the NCAA.
On defense, the Knights defense has seven sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. So far, team’s are scoring 12 points per game against them (14th). In terms of pass defense, they’re ranked 32nd in the NCAA, allowing 166.7 passing yards per game.
Moreover, UCF’s run defense is allowing 117.3 rushing yards per contest.
The Knights’ finished with 33 pass attempts vs. Villanova, accumulating 349 yards and two scores. In the rushing game, they averaged 4.6 yards per carry and notched four rushing touchdowns.
Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State is coming off a 30-27 loss to Missouri and were unable to pull out a win in the 4th quarter as Missouri outscored Kansas State by 10 in the final period.
So far, the Wildcats are a perfect 2-0 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of +23. When looking at their previous betting lines, they have been the underdog in all of their games.
Kansas State has an over/under record of 2-0 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 52.3 points with the average over/under line being 49.5 points.
Kansas State Wildcats Stats
Kansas State enters the game on offense with an average of 38, ranking them 25th in the NCAA.
Their passing game has them at 30th in the nation, with an average of 293.3 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 57th in rushing yards, with an average of 113 rushing attempts per game this season.
The Wildcats’ offense finished with 408 yards of offense against Missouri. 138 of these yards came on the ground compared to 270 through the air. On third down they went 8/17 and threw for three touchdowns.
Defensively, the Wildcats enter the game with 10 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries.
They’ve allowed 14.3 points per game thus far this season (21st).
In terms of pass defense, they’re 134th in the NCAA, giving up 264.3 passing yards per game. Against the run, Kansas State has allowed 50 rushing yards per contest thus far.
UCF Knights vs. Kansas State Wildcats NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Knights are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Knights are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Wildcats have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Knights’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Wildcats’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
UCF vs. Kansas State Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knights | +200 | +194 | +7 | +6.5 |
| Wildcats | -250 | -244 | -7 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: UCF +7
Coming into this game, Kansas State’s offense has been a below average group at converting on third downs. I’m not counting on them suddenly figuring this out in Week 4, so I like UCF +7.
Little known tidbit for you as well, UCF are quietly 15-5 in their last 20 games. Also, Kstate finds the sledding tough against AAC teams. They’re currently 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the AAC.
Back UCF on Saturday to keep this one within the 7.
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UCF Knights vs. Kansas State Wildcats NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Under the lights pic.twitter.com/bh781invpP
— K-State Football (@KStateFB) September 21, 2023
Cool tweet huh?
⚫️⚪️⚫️ pic.twitter.com/fwIGyxkW2J
— UCF Football (@UCF_Football) September 21, 2023
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