Free NCAA Pick: Toledo vs. Illinois Odds
Looking for Toledo Rockets vs. Illinois Fighting Illini free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Rockets taking on the Fighting Illini on Saturday, September 2nd at the Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Toledo Illinois matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Toledo Rockets vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (0-0)
Date: Saturday, September 2nd
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
NCAA Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Toledo +9.5 | Illinois -9.5
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: Toledo +283 | Illinois -363
College Football Betting Total: O/U 46
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There wasn’t a head-to-head matchup between Illinois and Toledo last season. But looking back across their previous threee head-to-head games, Illinois is 2-1. Despite their straight-up record, Toledo went 2-1 vs. the spread. Together, the team’s averaged 39 points leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
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Toledo Rockets
Toledo wrapped up last season with a trip to the Roofclaim.com Boca Raton Bowl and took down Liberty by a score of 21-19. In the Mid-American – West, the Rockets were 4-1, putting them in 4th place. In the non-conference portion of their schedule, Toledo was 5-4.
Toledo Rockets Stats
Toledo is bringing back last year’s leading passer, DeQuan Finn. A year ago he threw for 2265 yards and 23 touchdowns. His passer rating for the season was 90.
In the running game, the Rockets’ leading returning running back is Jacquez Stuart (junior) who ran for 770 yards last season. Toledo’s top returning wide receiver is Jerjuan Newton. The junior caught 53 passes for 830 yards last season.
When looking at how Toledo got after the quarterback last year, they were 14th in sacks and 30th in QB hurries. Overall, they allowed an average of 25.1 points per game, putting them 111th in the NCAA.
Illinois Fighting Illini
Last season, Illinois finished with an overall record of 8-5, which included going 5-1 in Big Ten – West action. In the Big Ten – West they finished in 5th place and finished the season with 19-10 loss to Mississippi State Bulldogs in the Reliaquest Bowl. Against non-conference opponents, the Fighting Illini went 3-4.
Illinois Fighting Illini Stats
At the quarterback position, the Fighting Illini will need to replace the production of last year’s leading passer (Tommy DeVito). For the season, he completed 69.6% of his passes for 2647 yards and 15 touchdowns.
Illinois’ top returning wide receiver is Isaiah Williams, who is coming off a season in which he finished with 709 on 81 receptions. Reggie Love III is Illinois’ top returning rusher with 317 rushing yards last year.
On the defensive side of the ball, Illinois finished the season ranked 52nd in points allowed. For the season, opponents averaged 12.8 game. Overall, they were 13th in quarterback hurries and 23rd in sacks. Opponents ran for 99.8 yards per game and threw for 173.7 against them.
Toledo Rockets vs. Illinois Fighting Illini NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Rockets are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Fighting Illini are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Rockets are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Fighting Illini have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Rockets’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Fighting Illini’s have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Toledo vs. Illinois Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | +345 | +281 | +10 | +9.5 |
| Fighting Illini | -455 | -361 | -10 | -9.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Illinois -9.5
For the opening week, I don’t recommend getting too hung up on trends from last year. That’s why despite Toledo finishing last season with an above .500 record vs. the spread, I like Illinois to cover at -9.5.
Strong Lean Over!
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Toledo Rockets vs. Illinois Fighting Illini NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
The 2023 season starts on Saturday against Toledo with record season ticket sales and 8 players represented on 15 national watch lists.#Illini // #HTTO // #famILLy pic.twitter.com/NhXbufsgvu
— Illinois Football (@IlliniFootball) August 30, 2023
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