Free NCAA Pick: Texas Tech vs. Arkansas Odds
Looking for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arkansas Razorbacks free NCAA AutoZone Liberty Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Red Raiders taking on the Razorbacks on Friday, December 27th at the Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Texas Tech Arkansas Liberty Bowl matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: AutoZone Liberty Bowl
2024 AutoZone Liberty Bowl
(8-4) Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-6)
Date: Friday, December 27th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN
AutoZone Liberty Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Texas Tech +2.5 | Arkansas -2.5
AutoZone Liberty Bowl CFB Moneyline Odds: Texas Tech +110 | Arkansas -130
College Football Betting Total: O/U 59.5
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The AutoZone Liberty Bowl is shaping up to be a fiery showdown, as Texas Tech and Arkansas rekindle a historic rivalry steeped in tradition.
Arkansas boasts a commanding 29-8 all-time edge, including a dominant 49-7 victory in 1978 and a historic nine-game win streak that spanned decades.
Arkansas comes into this matchup as the slight -2.5 point favorite over Texas Tech in this Liberty Bowl matchup. The game is set for 7:00 ET on Friday, December 27th, at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis.
Even though Arkansas is technically the home team, the game is being played on a neutral site. ESPN will be handling the television broadcast. The over/under line is currently at 59.5 points.
The Razorbacks are 6-6 on the season, while the Red Raiders are 8-4.
Texas Tech carries the momentum this time, riding a one-game streak after their 2015 triumph.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Texas Tech enters the Liberty Bowl with an 8-4 record, going 4-2 at home and 3-2 on the road. They’ve been favored in seven games, posting a 5-2 record as the favorite. Their average scoring margin this season is +4.1 points per game.
Against the spread, Texas Tech is 7-3-1, with a 4-1 record on the road and 3-2-1 at home. As the favorite, they are 4-2-1 ATS, and they’ve gone 3-1 ATS as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 59.5 points. Texas Tech games have averaged 73.1 points, with an average over/under line of 62.1 points. Their over/under record for the season is 7-4, with seven games featuring higher lines than this week’s total.
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Texas Tech Red Raiders Stats
Texas Tech’s offense ranks 5th in scoring, averaging 38.6 points per game, and they are 9th in third-down conversions, converting 49% of their attempts. Quarterback Behren Morton has thrown for 3,300 yards and 27 touchdowns, with eight interceptions, and he has a passer rating of 96. Texas Tech is 3rd in passing attempts per game, averaging 41.8, and 5th in completions per game.
Morton’s completion percentage is 63.3%. Leading rusher Tahj Brooks has 1,505 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Texas Tech is 69th in rushing yards per game, with 162.3. Josh Kelly leads the receivers with 1,023 yards and five touchdowns on 89 catches. Texas Tech is ranked 47th in our offensive power rankings heading into the Liberty Bowl.
Texas Tech’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 34.5 points per game, ranking 92nd nationally. Opponents have averaged 306.2 passing yards per game against them, completing 63.7% of their passes, which ranks Texas Tech 179th in the country in passing yards allowed.
In their recent game against West Virginia, Texas Tech’s defense allowed 15 points but gave up 423 total yards, including 265 passing yards. They also forced two interceptions in the game.
Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas enters bowl season with a 6-6 record, going 3-3 at home and 2-2 on the road. They’ve been favored in three games this season, winning all three. As the underdog, they are 2-5. The Razorbacks have a +5.3 average scoring margin this season.
Against the spread, Arkansas is 5-5. They’ve gone 3-1 ATS on the road and 2-4 at home. As the favorite, they are 1-2 ATS, while they’ve covered in four of seven games as the underdog.
Their over/under record stands at 4-6, with an average line of 55.1 points. This week’s total is set at 59.5, with nine games having lower lines and two higher. Arkansas games have averaged 55.2 points per contest.
Arkansas Razorbacks Stats
Arkansas heads into this Liberty Bowl matchup ranked 39th in scoring, with 30.2 points per game, and they are 43rd in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the strength of the offense, averaging 269.1 yards per game, which ranks 24th nationally. They are 41st in passing attempts, with 32.7 per game, and 39th in completions, with 20.3 per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 43%.
Taylen Green leads the team with 2,812 passing yards, and he has a passer rating of 86, with 13 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Ja’Quinden Jackson has rushed for 790 yards and 15 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Andrew Armstrong has caught 78 passes for 1,140 yards but has just one touchdown reception.
Arkansas’s defense has allowed 24.9 points per game this season, ranking 47th nationally. In their recent game against Missouri, they gave up 28 points, including three rushing touchdowns, while allowing 193 rushing yards and 168 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 124 rushing yards per game against Arkansas, but 244.2 passing yards, which ranks 133rd in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 61.4% of their passes and have a passer rating of 91.5 against the Razorbacks.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arkansas Razorbacks NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Arkansas Razorbacks are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Texas Tech Red Raiders are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Arkansas Razorbacks have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Texas Tech Red Raiders’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Arkansas Razorbacks’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free AutoZone Liberty Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Arkansas -2.5
The Razorbacks, seasoned in Liberty Bowl action with a 3-3 record and three straight wins since 2009, are slight favorites at -130 on the moneyline.
Texas Tech, with value at +110, aims to prove their mettle against an Arkansas squad steeped in bowl pedigree.
Arkansas enters their bowl game matchup against Texas Tech as -2.5 point favorites. We expect them to cover the spread, with a projected final score of 34-27 in their favor.
With the over/under line set at 59.5 points, our projection of 61 points suggests that taking the over is the best play for this game.
Get ready for a classic SEC vs. Big 12 clash that promises gridiron fireworks!
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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arkansas Razorbacks NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Liberty Bowl Week 🔔 pic.twitter.com/1yJe2uQCUE
— Arkansas Razorback Football (@RazorbackFB) December 23, 2024
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