Free NCAA Pick: Texas State vs. Troy Odds
Looking for Texas State Bobcats vs. Troy Trojans free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Bobcats taking on the Trojans on Thursday, October 3rd at the Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Texas State Troy matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(2-2) Texas State Bobcats vs. Troy Trojans (1-4)
Date: Thursday, October 3rd
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, AL
Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Texas State -14 | Troy +14
Week 6 CFB Moneyline Odds: Texas State -596 | Troy +427
College Football Betting Total: O/U 57.5
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This week six matchup between the Texas State Bobcats and Troy Trojans is set for Thursday, October 3rd, with a 7:00 ET kick off at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy. The Bobcats are 2-2 on the season, while the Trojans are looking to improve on their 1-4 record.
The Bobcats are heavy -14-point favorites on the road, and the over/under line is at 57.5 points.
ESNU will be covering the game.
Texas State Bobcats
Texas State enters Week 6 against Troy with a 2-2 record, ranked 81st in our CFB power rankings. They have an 84.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to our projections.
The Bobcats have been favored in three of their four games but are 1-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +10.5 points per game, and they are 1-2 against the spread this season.
Texas State’s over/under record is 2-0-1, with their games averaging 64.5 points. This week’s line is 57.5 points, just below their average line of 57.7 points.
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Texas State Bobcats Stats
Texas State’s offense is averaging 37.5 points per game heading into week 6, placing them 21st in the nation. They are ranked 53rd in our offensive power rankings. The Bobcats’ passing game is their strength, ranking 23rd in completions with 26 per game and averaging 294 yards through the air. They are 35th in passing attempts, with 37.5 per game, and their third-down conversion rate is 43.6%.
Jordan McCloud leads the passing attack with 1,141 yards and a passer rating of 113. He has completed 69.3% of his throws, the same as the team’s overall completion percentage, and has thrown 12 touchdowns with three interceptions. Jaden Williams has 292 receiving yards and three touchdowns. On the ground, Texas State is averaging 160 rushing yards per game.
Texas State’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 40 points in their recent 40-39 loss to Sam Houston. The Bobcats gave up 395 total yards, including 300 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns, though they held Sam Houston to just 95 passing yards on 10 completions.
So far this season, Texas State’s defense is ranked 44th nationally, allowing 27 points per game. Opponents are averaging 137.5 rushing yards per game and 207.5 passing yards, with a 52.8% completion rate, which ranks 20th in the country.
Troy Trojans
At 1-4, Troy is looking to turn things around in Week 6 against Texas State. They are ranked 100th in our CFB power rankings, and their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are just 13.6%.
Troy has been favored in two of their five games but lost both, with an average scoring margin of -4.4 points per game. Their ATS record stands at 1-3 this season.
This week’s over/under line is set at 57.5, higher than any of Troy’s previous games. They are 2-2 against the over/under, with an average line of 46.2 points and an average total score of 47.2 points per game.
Troy Trojans Stats
Troy’s offense has been underwhelming this season, averaging just 21.4 points per game, placing them 76th in the nation. They are ranked 83rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Their passing game ranks 76th, with 189 yards per game, but they are 60th in passing attempts.
Goose Crowder has completed 69.8% of his passes for 546 yards and five touchdowns, with no interceptions. He has a passer rating of 122. Damien Taylor leads the rushing attack with 336 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Devonte Ross has 529 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 29 catches.
Despite a solid defensive performance, Troy fell 13-9 to UL Monroe, allowing just 13 points. The Trojans gave up 257 total yards, including 122 rushing yards on 37 attempts and 135 passing yards, while forcing one interception.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a 96.7 passer rating and 118.2 passing yards per game against Troy, completing 70.9% of their passes. Troy’s defense has faced the 23rd fewest pass attempts nationally, but they’ve allowed 178 rushing yards per game, ranking 123rd in the country.
Texas State Bobcats vs. Troy Trojans NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Texas State Bobcats are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Troy Trojans are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Texas State Bobcats are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Troy Trojans have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Texas State Bobcats’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Troy Trojans’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 6 NCAA Betting Prediction: Troy +14
Looking ahead to the Texas State Bobcats vs. Troy Trojans matchup, history hasn’t been kind to the Bobcats. They’ve dropped all nine of their last meetings with Troy. Once a promising Group of Five contender, Texas State’s season has hit some turbulence.
However, a potential silver lining for them this week could be Troy’s uncertain quarterback situation.
With rumors of a possible third-string QB stepping in, keep an eye on any updates from Troy’s camp. Despite the uncertainty, Troy has been solid at home, winning seven of their last ten games.
Our projection for the Texas State vs. Troy matchup is a 30-24 win for Texas State, who are currently -14 point favorites. We believe Troy is the best bet to cover the spread as the underdog.
For the over/under, with the line set at 57.5 points, we recommend taking the under, as our model projects a combined 54 points.
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Texas State Bobcats vs. Troy Trojans NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Time for some #FunBeltAfterDark at The Vet on Thursday 🌑 pic.twitter.com/G9vIDbkRS0
— Troy Trojans Football 8x⚔️ (@TroyTrojansFB) September 30, 2024
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