Free NCAA Pick: Texas vs. Baylor Odds
Looking for Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Longhorns taking on the Bears on Saturday, September 23rd at the McLane Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Texas Baylor matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(3-0) Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears (1-2)
Date: Saturday, September 23rd
Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: McLane Stadium
NCAA Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Texas -14 | Baylor +14
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: Texas -655 | Baylor +453
College Football Betting Total: O/U 51.5
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In the upcoming NCAA football clash, the Texas Longhorns (3-0) are gearing up to face off against the Baylor Bears (1-2) in Waco, Texas, this Saturday. ABC will be broadcasting the game for all fans to enjoy.
The Bears are undoubtedly in for a challenge as they’ll need to bring their A-game to pull off a significant upset. The betting odds favor Texas with a Moneyline (ML) of -690, while Baylor stands at +480. Texas also carries a -14.5 point spread (ATS) and an Over/Under (O/U) of 51.5.
It’s worth noting that both teams hold a 1-1 record against the spread in 2023.
In historical terms, the Longhorns dominate the series with an impressive 80-28-4 record, including a 38-27 victory in Austin during the previous season. Currently, Texas sits at an impressive #6 ranking in the Coaches Poll. Be sure to stay tuned to our College football handicapping blog for expert insights on this exciting matchup!
In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Texas picked up the 38-27 win (last year).
Both side’s struggled to move the ball through the air, with Texas finishing the game with 194 compared to Texas’ 179.
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Texas Longhorns
In their most recent game, Texas had no problem taking down Wyoming, as they went on to win by a score of 31-10.
So far, Texas has been a good bet vs. the spread, as they are a perfect 3-0. Their average scoring margin this season is at +19, while being favored one time and the underdog in two games.
Heading into this week’s game, Texas’ over/under record is 1-2.
Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently -5.0 with their games averaging 48.7 points per game.
Texas Longhorns Stats
On offense, Texas comes into the game averaging 34, which is 35th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 260 passing yards (48th) compared to 71st in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 107 rushing attempts per contest.
The Longhorns defense faces off against Baylor with eight sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 14.7 points per game which is 22nd in the nation.
Against the pass, they’re 47th in the NCAA, allowing 180 passing yards per game. Texas’ run defense is yielding 96.3 rushing yards per contest.
Offensively, the Longhorns finished with one score on the ground against Wyoming while running for 185 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Texas scored two times and threw the ball 21 times for 131 yards.
Baylor Bears
Baylor most recently took down Long Island University by a score of 30-7. The Bears went into the 4th quarter of this game leading by nine.
So far, Baylor has been favored one time and the underdog in one game. This has led to an ATS record of 1-1 and an average scoring differential of +1.6.
Baylor has put together an over/under record of 1-1 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 47.7 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 52 points.
Baylor Bears Stats
The Bears come into their matchup vs. Texas 34th in college football at 109 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 166.3 rushing yards per game, placing them 60th nationally.
Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 33 times each game, accumulating an average of 251.7 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 58th, with 24.7 points per game.
Offensively, the Bears finished with three scores on the ground against Long Island University while running for 270 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Baylor scored one time and threw the ball 27 times for 121 yards.
Looking at this week’s game, the Baylor defense stands at 45th in points allowed, permitting 23 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 163.7 passing yards per game against them (30th).
On the ground, they’re conceding 170 rushing yards, ranking them 112th in college football.
Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Longhorns are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Longhorns are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bears have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Longhorns’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Bears’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Texas vs. Baylor Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longhorns | -625 | -714 | -14 | -15 |
| Bears | +440 | +494 | +14 | +15 |
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: Baylor +14
After struggling to move the ball in the passing game against Wyoming, I’m not expecting much from Texas this week. This is why I’m leaning towards Baylor as 14-point underdogs.
Unfortunately, fans won’t witness these two teams meeting in the near future, as Baylor remains in the Big 12, while Texas is set to make the move to the SEC in 2024.
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Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/BUFootball/status/1703801990239633880
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