Free NCAA Football Prediction: Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Odds
Looking for Texas A&M Aggies vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs free picks? College football betting sees the Aggies taking on the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 01, 2022, at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Aggies Bulldogs free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Texas A&M Aggies (3-1) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-1)
Date: Saturday, October 01, 2022
Time: 4:00 pm EST
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Aggies +4 / Bulldogs -4 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Texas A&M +150 / Mississippi State -175
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 45
Week 4 college football sees the Aggies and Bulldogs meeting at the Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Bulldogs are favorites by 4 points in this SEC matchup, and we have a total of 45.
Texas A&M Aggies
The Aggies offense is ranked 20th on PFF and lead by QB Max Johnson. Has struggled this season with only a 46.1 passing grade on PFF. He has a big time throw percentage around 0% with 3.1 turnover worthy play percentage.
He has a 2-0 TD to interception ratio on the year with 314 yards.
Texas A&M have stud running back Devon Achane. He is the focal point of the offense and as he goes they go. He has 65 carries and 9 receptions on the year. These touches total 426 yards.
They will need some wideouts to step up as Ainias Smith is out for the season after being injured against Arkansas. Evan Stewart is the next leading wideout and will need to play big and have a few other players behind him step up.
The defense is ranked 47th on PFF. They are led by Jaylon Jones he has a 73.1 PFF grade and has only allowed 50% of targets on him at corner to be completed. Antonio Johnson leads the team in tackles with 29.
They are 2-2 against the spread this year with a cover against Arkansas last week.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Bulldogs offense is ranked 29th on PFF and led by quarterback Wil Rogers. He has a 84.6 passing grade this year on PFF. He has a big time play rate of 4.1%. But he is very safe with the ball with only 0.9% turnover worthy play percentage.
Will Rogers has an 16-3 TD to interception ratio on the year with 1,384 yards passing.
The Bulldogs will use Dillon Johnson as the main back, he has 36-234 yards on the season and 0 TDs. Jo’quavious Marks will be used as well with 30-141 and 4 TDs and he has only played 3 games this season.
Mississippi State is diverse in who they throw the ball to Will Rogers is more like a point guard with 7 players having more than 10 targets on the year including WR, TE and RBs. Caleb Ducking will be a key factor in the offense as he ;eads the team in yards and TD catches.
Mississippi State is ranked 61st on PFF on the defensive side of the ball. They are led by Collin Duncan he will be asked to help in run support against Texas A&M this week. Jett Johnson leads the team in tackles from his linebacker spot and will also be huge in slowing down Achane.
They are 2-1-1 against the spread this year with a cover against Arizona.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas A&M’s last 5 games.
- Texas A&M are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Mississippi State.
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas A&M’s last 12 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State’s last 5 games at home.
- Mississippi State are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
4* Free Aggies vs. Bulldogs NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
I think the QB play difference here is to big for Texas A&M to overcome. Also, the loss of Smith will allow Mississippi State to key in the box and try and make A&M one dimensional. The bulldogs also have a pretty good home field advantage that will help them.
4* Free Texas A&M Aggies vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAA Betting Pick: Mississippi State ML -175
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