Free NCAA Pick: Tennessee vs. Missouri Odds
Looking for Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers free NCAA Week 11 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Volunteers taking on the Tigers on Saturday, November 11th at the Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Tennessee Missouri matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(7-2) Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers (7-2)
Date: Saturday, November 11th
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO
NCAA Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tennessee -1.5 | Missouri +1.5
Week 11 CFB Moneyline Odds: Tennessee -119 | Missouri -105
College Football Betting Total: O/U 58.5
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Tennessee owns the head to head record here 6-5, and have won 4 in a row.
Tennessee will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 66-24 win over Missouri. The Tennessee offense had a big game, putting up 66 points on 724 yards of total offense.
For the game, the Volunteers picked up 33 first downs while going 4/11 on 3rd down. Defensively, they gave up 217 passing yards and 172 yards rushing.
Last week’s game summaries indicate that The Tigers had a close match against #1 Georgia, losing 30-21. Meanwhile, the Volunteers had a dominant performance against UConn, winning 59-3 and covering a 34-point spread.
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Tennessee Volunteers
Tennessee’s defense came up big in their most recent game, giving up just three points in the team’s 59-3 win over UConn.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Missouri, the Volunteers have been favored in seven games and the underdog in one. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 6-2.
The average point total in Tennessee’s nine games is currently 53.2 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 5-3 for the Volunteers.
Tennessee Volunteers Stats
The Volunteers are currently ranked 24th in college football with 354 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 228.2 rushing yards per game, which is 5th in the nation.
Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 31.1 attempts per game and gain an average of 238.8 passing yards. Overall, they hold the 20th spot with 34.8 points per game.
This season, the Volunteers’ defense has allowed 97.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 193rd. Opponents average 222.2 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 81.9 against Tennessee.
They hold the 82nd position in NCAA points allowed.
The Volunteers’ finished with 31 pass attempts vs. UConn, accumulating 375 yards and three scores.
In the rushing game, they averaged 8.1 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
Missouri Tigers
In Missouri’s most recent loss to Georgia, the Tigers faced a -15-point deficit going into the 4th and were unable to mount a comeback effort, falling 30-21.
Against the spread, Missouri has gone 6-2 this season. The Tigers have been favored four times compared to four games as the underdog.
The average point total in Missouri’s nine games is currently 56.4 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 5-3 for the Tigers.
Missouri Tigers Stats
The Tigers are currently ranked 52nd in college football with 312 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 149.1 rushing yards per game, which is 76th in the nation.
Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 30.9 attempts per game and gain an average of 284.9 passing yards.
Overall, they hold the 29th spot with 32.4 points per game.
In the passing game, the Tigers threw the ball 29 times for 212 and one score against Georgia. On the ground, they averaged 4.4 yards per carry and finished with one rushing touchdown
The Missouri defense holds the 85th position in points allowed, allowing 24 points per game. Teams have an average of 229.4 passing yards per game against them (94th nationally).
In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 114.1 rushing yards, placing them 36th in college football.
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Volunteers are 5-0 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Tigers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Volunteers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Tigers have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Volunteers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Tigers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Tennessee vs. Missouri Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Volunteers | -118 | -119 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
Tigers | -104 | -105 | +1.5 | +1.5 |
4* Free Week 11 NCAA Betting Prediction: Missouri +1.5
It’s a new year, a fresh start for the team. The Tigers are eager to put up a better fight against the Vols this time. The past two years have been rough for Josh Heupel’s crew, with the Volunteers beating them 62-24 and 66-24.
But hold on, this year WILL be different! Some stats support my choice to back MIZZOU this week.
Tennessee has struggled on the road, going 2-4 ATS in their last 6 away games. In contrast, Missouri has been on a roll, boasting a 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games and a 7-2 SU record in their last 9 overall.
They’ve also been dominant at home, going 6-1 SU in their last 7 home games. Plus, MIZZOU has a strong 5-1 ATS record against SEC teams in their last 6 matchups.
As the home underdogs, I’m leaning towards Missouri to cover the spread at +1.5.
Wrong team favored! Play on MIZZOU plus the points! As for a total, this one goes over 60. I’m on the OVER.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Missouri’s last 7 games, and in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5.
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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
ENERGY!!!!!
Keep bringing that energy Saturday!#MIZ🐯🏈 pic.twitter.com/uMvHo2HXGd
— Mizzou Football (@MizzouFootball) November 9, 2023
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