Free NCAA Pick: Tennessee vs. Florida Odds
Looking for Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators free NCAA Week 3 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Volunteers taking on the Gators on Saturday, September 16th at the Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Tennessee Florida matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(2-0) Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators (1-1)
Date: Saturday, September 16th
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
NCAA Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: Tennessee -6.5 | Florida +6.5
Week 3 CFB Moneyline Odds: Tennessee -256 | Florida +198
College Football Betting Total: O/U 59
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The annual “Third Saturday in September” game is on tap this week! It’s crazy that these two schools first met in 1916. The #11 Tennessee Vols, undefeated at 2-0, face off against SEC rivals, the Florida Gators, with a 1-1 record this Saturday at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
The Gators aim for an upset, coming in as 6.5-point underdogs, while the over/under is set at 58.5 points.
Tennessee leads on the money line at -250, while the Gators offer a tempting +200. Florida leads the all-time series 31-21. What’s in store for this Week 3 college football clash?
The last time Tennessee and Florida faced off came last year, ending in a 38-33 win for Tennessee. The Tennessee offense threw the ball 28 times vs. Florida finishing with 349 passing yards.
Overall, Florida finished with 594 yards of offense.
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Tennessee Volunteers
The Volunteers’ last game was a matchup vs. Austin Peay, ending in a 30-13 win for Tennessee.
So far, the Volunteers are a perfect 1-0 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of +26.5. When looking at their previous betting lines, they have been the underdog in all of their games.
Heading into this week’s game, Tennessee’s over/under record is 1-0. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +6.5 with their games averaging 52.5 points per game.
Tennessee Volunteers Stats
Heading into their matchup vs. Florida, the Volunteers’ offense is averaging 257.5 rushing yards per game, along with 6 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 11th rank in rushing yards and 11th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 220 yards per game.
In terms of scoring, Tennessee is at 39.5 points per game, which is 25th in the NCAA.
Tennessee’s defense ranks 14th in points allowed, with 13 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 183 passing yards against them (51st nationally).
On the ground, they’ve conceded 87 rushing yards, putting them 29th in college football.
Florida Gators
Florida most recently took down McNeese by a score of 49-7. The Gators went into the 4th quarter of this game leading by 29.
Having been favored in each of their first two games, Florida has yet to cover the spread. Their ATS record is 0-1 on an average scoring margin of +14.5 points per contest.
Over two games, the average over/under line for Florida’s games has been 44.5 points.
The total score in these matchups has averaged 45.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 0-1.
Florida Gators Stats
The Gators’ heads into the game, averaging 170 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 57th in rushing yards and 57th in passing yards at 283 yards per contest.
Florida is averaging 30 points per game, which is 42nd in the nation.
Defensively, the Gators defense has come up with two sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 15.5 points per contest (19th).
Against the pass, they are 12th in the NCAA, having allowed 115.5 passing yards allowed per game.
Florida is giving up 75.5 rushing yards per contest.
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Volunteers are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Gators are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Volunteers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Gators have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Volunteers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Gators’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Tennessee vs. Florida Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volunteers | -315 | -258 | -7 | -6.5 |
| Gators | +235 | +198 | +7 | +6.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NCAA Betting Prediction: Florida +6.5
Expect some explosive action, as Tennessee and Florida ignite the gridiron once again!
On Saturday, we’ve got a classic SEC showdown between offense and defense. Tennessee’s offense has been a bit shaky in their early games, while the Gators have shown some serious firepower on offense.
The real mystery is which coaching crew can crack the code of the opposing side. It’s a million-dollar question.
After Florida took a hit with a 24-11 loss against Utah in their season opener, they came back strong, crushing McNeese State 49-7 in the next game. It looks like they’re gaining momentum now, and Florida’s looked good on the defensive side of the ball too.
I see them as the best bet to cover the spread for this week, with the line at +6.5.
Our projections for the total have our model sitting at 63 for this one as well, pushing this to the OVER. We’ll make a small side bet as well on OVER the total Saturday.
Expect this game in the swamp to go down to the final whistle. Would you expect anything less?
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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Agent 0⃣
Jaylen Wright is averaging 9.32 yards per carry which ranks first in the @sec and third in the 𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯.#GBO 🍊 pic.twitter.com/Qz0XKZIVuO
— Tennessee Football (@Vol_Football) September 13, 2023
Attack the ball!! 💥#GoGators | #UFormula pic.twitter.com/JwzVfIB87t
— Florida Gators Football (@GatorsFB) September 13, 2023
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