Free NCAA Pick: TCU vs. Stanford Odds
Looking for TCU Horned Frogs vs. Stanford Cardinal free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Horned Frogs taking on the Cardinal on Friday, August 30th at the Stanford Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this TCU Stanford matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) TCU Horned Frogs vs. Stanford Cardinal (0-0)
Date: Friday, August 30th
Time: 10:30 ET
Venue: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) TCU -9.5 | Stanford +9.5
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: TCU -349 | Stanford +265
College Football Betting Total: O/U 61.5
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TCU Horned Frogs
TCU is ranked 29th in our pre-season power rankings, with a 75.8% chance of being bowl-eligible this season. Last year, the Horned Frogs finished with a 5-7 record, going 3-5 as the favorite and 2-2 as the underdog. They were 4-3 at home and 1-4 on the road.
Heading into this season, TCU has an 8% chance of winning the Big 12 title, according to our projections. In the futures market, they are listed at +1847 to win the Big 12 and +700 to make it to the Big 12 Championship game, with a 12% implied probability. This places them 9th among Big 12 teams in the futures market.
TCU Horned Frogs Stats
Josh Hoover, who threw for 2,206 yards and 15 touchdowns last season, is the top returning quarterback for TCU. The Horned Frogs also added Ken Seals, who threw for 1,183 yards and 11 touchdowns at Vanderbilt. TCU ranked 44th in the country in scoring last season, averaging 31.3 points per game. Their offense was pass-heavy, ranking 10th in passing attempts per game (41.9) and 17th in passing yards per game (312.2).
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On the ground, TCU averaged 154.1 rushing yards per game, placing them 76th in the nation. The top returning running back for the Horned Frogs is Trey Sanders, who rushed for 176 yards last season. TCU’s passing attack last season was effective on third downs, converting 46.3% of their opportunities, which was the 15th best rate in college football.
TCU’s defense allowed 27.8 points per game last season, ranking them 52nd in the nation. They struggled against the run, giving up 155.4 rushing yards per game, which placed them 96th in college football. In the passing game, the Horned Frogs allowed 253.7 yards per game, ranking 147th nationally. Despite these numbers, TCU’s defense held opponents to a 58.7% completion percentage (47th) and 7.5 yards per pass attempt (91st).
Stanford Cardinal
Stanford is currently 59th in our power rankings heading into the season, with a 43.8% chance of being bowl-eligible. However, their odds of winning the Atlantic Coast Conference are slim, at just 0.8%. In the futures market, they are the least favored team to win the conference, with a long shot line of +40222 (402.22 to 1).
Last season, Stanford finished with a 3-9 overall record, going 3-2 on the road and 0-7 at home. They were favored in just two of their 12 games, going 0-2 as the favorite and 3-7 as the underdog. Coming into this season, Stanford has the worst odds in the futures market to win the Atlantic Coast Conference, and they are looking to bounce back from a tough season.
Stanford Cardinal Stats
Stanford’s passing game last season was led by quarterback Ashton Daniels, who threw for 2,247 yards and 11 touchdowns. However, the Cardinal offense as a whole struggled, averaging just 20.6 points per game (89th in the country). Their third-down conversion rate was just 35.5%, and the rushing attack averaged only 119.6 yards per game, ranking 104th nationally.
Daniels also threw 8 interceptions and finished the season with a passer rating of 73. Elic Ayomanor, who recorded 1,013 receiving yards and six touchdowns, was the top target in the passing game. Sedrick Irvin, the team’s top returning running back, rushed for 113 yards last season.
Stanford’s defense had a tough season last year, giving up 37.7 points per game. They struggled against the pass, allowing 298 passing yards per game (186th), and were also weak against the run, ranking 117th in rushing yards allowed. Opposing quarterbacks had a passer rating of 108.5 and completed 65.7% of their passes against the Cardinal last season.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Stanford Cardinal NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The TCU Horned Frogs are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Stanford Cardinal are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the TCU Horned Frogs are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Stanford Cardinal have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the TCU Horned Frogs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Stanford Cardinal’s have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: TCU -9.5
Our projected final score for this week one matchup between TCU and Stanford is 38-26 in favor of TCU. With TCU being -9.5 point favorites, we expect them to win and cover the spread.
For the over/under line, which is set at 61.5 points, our projection of 64 total points suggests that taking the over is the best play.
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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Stanford Cardinal NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
‼️ GAME WEEK ON THE FARM ‼️ pic.twitter.com/moUItBLMqx
— Stanford Cardinal 🌲🤓 (@GoStanford) August 26, 2024
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