Free Week 4 Prediction: Horned Frogs vs Mustangs Odds
Looking for TCU Horned Frogs vs. SMU Mustangs free picks? Week 4 College football betting sees the Horned Frogs taking on the Mustangs Friday, September 23, 2016 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
(2-1) TCU Horned Frogs vs. SMU Mustangs (2-1)
Date: Friday, September 23, 2016
Time: 8:00 PM EDT
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas
NCAA Football Spread: TCU -22
NCAA Betting Total: 64
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#21 TCU hits the road for the first time this season when they take on the SMU Mustangs on Friday night.
Both teams enter play with identical 2-1 records. This will mark the 2nd Big 12 opponent for the Mustangs this season.
TCU Horned Frogs
After getting bounced in overtime to Arkansas, the Horned Frogs responded with a lopsided win over the Iowa State Cyclones last week.
While the win was gratifying enough for them, the backers of the Horned Frogs were not pleased as they were outscored 10-3 in the 4th quarter, blowing the cover on the 24.5 point spread.
Still, the Horned Frogs will have some momentum as they hit the road for the first time this season, looking to repeat their 56-37 win over the Mustangs last season.
TCU’s offense has not broken stride with Kenny Hill calling the shots.
Hill has tossed for 1035 yards and 4 touchdowns, while rushing for 166 and 6 more touchdowns. Hill has showed off his dual threat ability and has made this Horned Frogs offense just as dangerous as last season.
However, the defense is a major concern. They were torched by Arkansas and Iowa State even found some progress, which raises some concern going up against an offense that has averaged nearly 500 yards per game.
The Mustangs have been very consistent from a bettors perspective.
They have gone 3-0 ATS and 3-0 to the Under thus far and will get a look at their 2nd Big 12 opponent of the season.
The first one was a cover obviously, but didn’t go quite according to plan as Baylor routed the Mustangs (+34.5) 40-13. Still, SMU has grabbed wins over North Texas and Liberty as they look to use their home field advantage here to get to the Horned Frogs.
Knowing they’ll have to score to keep up, it’s going to depend on this Mustangs defense.
Baylor, who runs a similar style to TCU, really showed some flaws of the Mustangs as they were simply able to outrun them.
The Mustangs are going to concede some points.
Limiting the damage, forcing some key timed turnovers, and holding them to field goals, are going to be the difference maker here.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Horned Frogs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 12-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Horned Frogs are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up win.
- Mustangs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. Big 12.
- Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
Free Week 4 NCAA Football Prediction
Can this SMU defense slow down the Horned Frogs?
Aren’t probably aren’t probable. Look for TCU to do what Baylor did to the Mustangs and just simply out run them as they win in a lopsided game.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: TCU -22
TCU gets out early here and wears down this Mustangs defense.
Week 4 Free Score Prediction: TCU 50 – SMU 17
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