
Free NCAA Pick: TCU vs. Kansas State Odds
Looking for TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats free NCAA Week 8 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Horned Frogs taking on the Wildcats on Saturday, October 21st at the Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this TCU Kansas State matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(4-3) TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats (4-2)
Date: Saturday, October 21st
Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
NCAA Week 8 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) TCU +6.5 | Kansas State -6.5
Week 8 CFB Moneyline Odds: TCU +193 | Kansas State -242
College Football Betting Total: O/U 57.5
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Check out today’s breakdown of the Week 8 NCAA football game: TCU Horned Frogs (4-3, 3-4 ATS) vs. Kansas State Wildcats (4-2, 4-2 ATS). It’s happening this Saturday, October 21st, at 7:00 ET, hosted at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, KS. You can catch the action on ESPN2.
The current betting lines for Week 8 show Kansas State as favorites with a -6.5 spread. In terms of moneyline odds, TCU is at +193, while Kansas State stands at -242. The over/under for total points is set at 57.5.
Looking back at their history, K-State holds a slight edge with a 9-8 head-to-head record. They most recently faced off in 2022, with the Cats winning 31-28. Their rivalry dates all the way back to 1922, and they’ve split their last ten meetings evenly at 5-5.
The last time Kansas State and TCU faced off came last year, ending in a 31-28 win for Kansas State. The Kansas State offense had a big game, putting up 31 points on 404 yards of total offense. For the game, the Wildcats picked up 20 first downs while going 5/16 on 3rd down.
Defensively, they gave up 251 passing yards and 218 yards rushing.
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TCU Horned Frogs
TCU most recently took down BYU by a score of 44-11. The Horned Frogs went into the 4th quarter of this game leading by 16.
This season, TCU has a scoring margin of +12.7. Their ATS record stands at 3-3 and they have been favored in all of their games.
Through seven games, the average over/under line in TCU’s games is 57.8 points. Their games have averaged a combined 53.6 points leading to an OU record of 2-4.
TCU Horned Frogs Stats
On offense, the Horned Frogs come in with the 6th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 304.1 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 13th in terms of attempts.
On defense, the Horned Frogs defense has 19 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. So far, teams are scoring 20.4 points per game against them (72nd). In terms of pass defense, they’re ranked 99th in the NCAA, allowing 228.9 passing yards per game.
Moreover, TCU’s run defense is allowing 121.6 rushing yards per contest.
In the game against BYU, the Horned Frogs’ offense generated 584 yards of offense, with 137 coming from rushing plays and 447 from passing plays. On third down, they converted 12 out of 19 attempts and threw four touchdowns in total.
Kansas State Wildcats
In the Wildcats’ 38-21 win over Texas Tech, the Wildcats jumped out to an early 10-0 in the first quarter.
Heading into this week’s matchup with TCU, the Wildcats have been favored in four games and the underdog in one.
Their ATS mark coming into the game is 3-2.
Across six games, the average over/under line in Kansas State’s matchups is 52.6 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 56.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-1.
Kansas State Wildcats Stats
The Wildcats’ offense is set to face TCU while averaging 217.8 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 19th for rushing yards and 72nd for passing yards, with an average of 241.7 yards per matchup.
Overall, Kansas State is putting up 36.2 points per game, which is 30th nationally.
The Wildcats’ offense ended the game with five rushing touchdowns vs. Texas Tech and 274 rushing yards on 44 attempts. The team’s passing attack did not pick up a score, and finished with 163 while throwing the ball 18 times.
Kansas State’s defense enters the game ranked 57th in passing yards allowed per game.
Opponents throw the ball an average of 36.8 times against the Wildcats.
They have given up 20.7 PPG, which ranks 59th in college football. In terms of rushing yards allowed, they stand at 32nd in the NCAA.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Horned Frogs are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Wildcats are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Horned Frogs are 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Wildcats have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Horned Frogs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Wildcats’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
TCU vs. Kansas State Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horned Frogs | +200 | +191 | +7 | +6.5 |
| Wildcats | -250 | -240 | -7 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 8 NCAA Betting Prediction: TCU +6.5
Will Howard vs. Josh Hoover. On paper I’m going to go with Hoover. He was a redshirt last year but has parlayed that into a crucial roster spot for TCU. He was once rated as the #33 QB in the nation (Fact).
So far, turnovers have been a problem in the passing game for Kansas State. They look like a good team, but they just don’t look like a good team on game days! Coming in as the away underdogs, I like TCU to cover the spread at +6.5.
In fact I think the wrong team is favored and I’m on the underdog, TCU will win this game outright. I think TCU has the better defense too.
There’s going to be a shocker in Manhattan on Saturday. (See what I did there Kansas?…LOL)
TCU is 15-5 SU in their L20, and 7-1 SU in their L8 on the road.
My model has this one coming in at 65 total points for total (over – under) gamblers. The defenses are both good, but they’re bend don’t break types, and I think we’ll see points on Saturday. Back the OVER.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of K-State’s last 5 games.
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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Full circle moment pic.twitter.com/ue3Udadaw0
— K-State Football (@KStateFB) October 17, 2023
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