Free NCAA Pick: TCU vs. Houston Odds
Looking for TCU Horned Frogs vs. Houston Cougars free NCAA Week 3 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Horned Frogs taking on the Cougars on Saturday, September 16th at the TDECU Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this TCU Houston matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(1-1) TCU Horned Frogs vs. Houston Cougars (1-1)
Date: Saturday, September 16th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: TDECU Stadium
NCAA Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: TCU -7.5 | Houston +7.5
Week 3 CFB Moneyline Odds: TCU -302 | Houston +236
College Football Betting Total: O/U 64.5
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The TCU Horned Frogs, sitting at 1-1, are set to face their Big 12 pals, the Houston Cougars, who also hold a 1-1 record, on Saturday, September 16, 2023, at John O’Quinn Field.
The Horned Frogs are clear favorites, with a spread of 7.5 points, and the over/under is at 64.5. Check out the odds, spreads, and more from various sportsbooks for the TCU vs. Houston showdown.
TCU stands at -300 on the moneyline, while Houston sits at +240 if you fancy a straight-up bet.
These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, TCU has gone 2-1. The over/under record in these games was 1-2 with the teams averaging 57 points per game combined.
TCU went 2-1 vs. the spread.
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TCU Horned Frogs
TCU is coming off a 41-6 win over the Nicholls. The Horned Frogs benefited from a strong first-half, going into halftime with a 24-17 lead.
Even though TCU has been the underdog in all of their games, they are still a perfect 1-0 against the spread. The team’s scoring differential for the season is currently +16 points per game.
After two games, the average over/under line in TCU’s matches stands at 63 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 67 points, resulting in an OU record of 1-0.
TCU Horned Frogs Stats
The Horned Frogs’ offense is set to face Houston while averaging 195.5 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 39th for rushing yards and 39th for passing yards, with an average of 296 yards per matchup.
Overall, TCU is putting up 41.5 points per game, which is 21st nationally.
TCU’s defense sits at 37th for points allowed, allowing 25.5 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 343.5 passing yards per game against them (154th nationally).
On the ground, they’re yielding 70.5 rushing yards, ranking them 19th in college football.
Houston Cougars
Houston will be hoping to bounce back this week after falling to Rice (43-41) in overtime. At the end of regulation, the Cougars and Rice were tied at 28.0-28.0.
Through two games, the Cougars have yet to lose vs. the spread, at 1-0. Heading into this week, they have a scoring margin of +0.5 and have been favored in every game.
Across two games, the average over/under line in Houston’s matchups is 55.2 points.
These games have seen an average combined score of 57.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 0-1.
Houston Cougars Stats
Houston’s offense has put up an average of 29 points per game, placing them 44th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 246.5 passing yards on average, ranking 59th in the nation.
On the ground, they’re holding the 75th position in rushing yards, with 76 rushing attempts per game this season.
Defensively, the Cougars enter the game with three sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries.
They’ve allowed 28.5 points per game thus far this season (42nd). In terms of pass defense, they’re 140th in the NCAA, giving up 305 passing yards per game.
Against the run, Houston has allowed 138.5 rushing yards per contest thus far.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Houston Cougars NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Horned Frogs are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Horned Frogs are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cougars have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Horned Frogs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Cougars’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
TCU vs. Houston Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horned Frogs | -240 | -302 | -6.5 | -7.5 |
| Cougars | +190 | +239 | +6.5 | +7.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NCAA Betting Prediction: Houston +7.5
TCU has won the L8 between these two colleges, but the Cougars own the historical series 13-12.
I’m going with Houston to cover as 7.5-point underdogs in this matchup. Houston had an impressive performance in their last game, particularly in the ground game against Rice in that crazy 43-41 overtime loss.
I’m keeping an eye on Houston’s QB, Donovan Smith, for this matchup. He had a killer game last week against Rice, throwing for 262 yards and scoring two TDs. Plus, he rushed for 57 yards and got himself three more TDs. That’s the game-changer here.
Houston will get their rushing yardage in this one, we’ll likely see a big play or two out of Tony Mathis Jr. At then end of the day, I’m backing Houston before kickoff. TCU wins by 4, but Houston will make it interesting.
Lean to the OVER. I’m not sure the defenses can keep up!
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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Houston Cougars NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Disruptive. @IAMNPC3_ has recorded 3️⃣ sacks this season which is t-5th nationally 💪🏽💪🏽#GoCoogs | #TEAM pic.twitter.com/35AFo1Yt8K
— Houston Football (@UHCougarFB) September 13, 2023
𝐂𝐨𝐮𝐠𝐚𝐫𝐬 𝐔𝐧𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐬𝐡𝐞𝐝: 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐫𝐬’ 𝐏𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞
From Houston to Nigeria and Back: My Journey Beyond Football by @PatrickPaul_76
➡️ https://t.co/qN4LEeKtUt#GoCoogs x #TEAM pic.twitter.com/3bfpcNAB68
— Houston Football (@UHCougarFB) September 13, 2023
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