Free NCAA Pick: TCU vs. Baylor Odds
Looking for TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears free NCAA Week 10 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Horned Frogs taking on the Bears on Saturday, November 2nd at the McLane Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this TCU Baylor matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(5-3) TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears (4-4)
Date: Saturday, November 2nd
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
Week 10 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) TCU +3 | Baylor -3
Week 10 CFB Moneyline Odds: TCU +131 | Baylor -157
College Football Betting Total: O/U 64.5
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Get ready for a Texas showdown!
ESPN2 is covering the 8:00 ET kickoff as the Baylor Bears host the TCU Horned Frogs at McLane Stadium in Waco. The Bears are the -3 point favorites at home in this week ten Big 12 matchup.
It’s TCU at Baylor, a matchup rich with history and intensity, and it’s going to be electric.
With TCU holding a slim 59-53-7 edge in their 119-game series, the Horned Frogs and Bears always bring the drama.
TCU’s last visit to Waco was an unforgettable 29-28 thriller, keeping their undefeated season alive in 2022.
Now, with TCU’s stacked receiver corps, Baylor’s secondary will have its hands full, but I think they’ll be up for it.
This rivalry game has all the ingredients to steal the spotlight in Week 10—expect a hard-hitting, high-stakes clash!
The over/under line is currently at 64.5 points. TCU enters the game with a 5-3 record, while Baylor is 4-4 for the season.
TCU Horned Frogs
TCU enters Week 10 with a 5-3 record, ranked 51st in our CFB power rankings. They have a 94.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but just a 0.4% shot at winning the Big 12. The Horned Frogs are 3-1 on the road and 1-2 at home this season.
TCU’s ATS record is 2-5, with an average scoring margin of +4.2 points per game. They are 0-5 against the spread as the favorite and 2-0 ATS as the underdog.
The over/under line for this week is 64.5 points. TCU’s games have averaged 60.8 points, with an average over/under line of 58.1 points. Their over/under record stands at 5-2 this season.
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TCU Horned Frogs Stats
Heading into week 10, TCU’s offense is averaging 32.5 points per game, placing them 31st in the nation. They are ranked 44th in our offensive power rankings. The Horned Frogs have been heavily reliant on their passing game, ranking 5th in passing yards with 333 yards per game. They also rank 5th in completions, averaging 26.5 per game, and are 10th in passing attempts. Their third-down conversion rate is 43.3%.
Josh Hoover leads TCU’s passing attack with 2,614 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. He has a passer rating of 102 and has completed 66.3% of his passes. Jack Bech has caught 46 passes for 825 yards and 7 touchdowns. TCU’s rushing game has struggled, averaging just 107.2 yards per game.
TCU’s defense has allowed 28.2 points per game this season, including 34 points in their recent 35-34 win over Texas Tech. The Horned Frogs gave up 438 total yards, with 258 passing yards and one passing touchdown, while also allowing 180 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 168.8 rushing yards per game against TCU, ranking them 116th nationally. The defense has faced the 39th fewest pass attempts in the country, allowing just 173.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 24th. Quarterbacks have completed 58.1% of their passes against TCU’s defense.
Baylor Bears
Baylor enters Week 10 with a 4-4 record and a 2-1 mark at home. They are ranked 43rd in our power rankings and have a 76.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. However, their chances of winning the Big 12 are at 0%.
Against the spread, Baylor is 4-2 this season, with a +7.2 average scoring margin. They are 2-1 ATS at home and have covered twice as the favorite (2-1 ATS).
This week’s over/under line is 64.5 points, higher than any of Baylor’s games this season. Their over/under record is 4-2, with an average line of 51.4 points and an average total of 59 points per game.
Baylor Bears Stats
Heading into week 10, Baylor’s offense is averaging 33.1 points per game, placing them 28th in the nation. They are ranked 45th in our offensive power rankings. On the ground, Baylor is averaging 176.2 rushing yards per game on 35 attempts.
Quarterback Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 1,541 yards with 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 106. Baylor ranks 53rd in passing yards per game, averaging 233.4 yards. Josh Cameron leads the receiving corps with 365 yards and seven touchdowns.
In their recent game against Oklahoma State, Baylor’s defense allowed 28 points but limited the Cowboys to just 74 rushing yards on 34 attempts. Oklahoma State threw the ball 42 times, completing 28 passes for 359 yards, while Baylor’s defense managed to force one interception.
So far this season, Baylor’s defense is ranked 64th nationally, giving up 25.9 points per game. They’ve allowed 151 rushing yards per game and 215.8 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 54.6% of their passes, which ranks 19th-lowest in the country.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The TCU Horned Frogs are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Baylor Bears are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the TCU Horned Frogs are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Baylor Bears have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the TCU Horned Frogs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Baylor Bears’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 10 NCAA Betting Prediction: Baylor -3
Our projections have Baylor winning this week ten matchup against TCU by a score of 32-26. With Baylor being -3 point favorites, we would go with them to cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 64.5 points, our model is suggesting a combined score of 58 points, so we would lean towards the under.
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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Hello Darkness ⬛️⬛️⬛️#SicEm pic.twitter.com/JDeeE4TYDw
— Baylor Football (@BUFootball) November 1, 2024
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