Free NCAA Pick: South Florida vs. Western Kentucky Odds
Looking for South Florida Bulls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers free NCAA Week 1 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Bulls taking on the Hilltoppers on Saturday, September 2nd at the Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this South Florida Western Kentucky matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) South Florida Bulls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (0-0)
Date: Saturday, September 2nd
Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Houchens Industries–L.T. Smith Stadium
NCAA Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: South Florida +11.5 | Western Kentucky -11.5
Week 1 CFB Moneyline Odds: South Florida +354 | Western Kentucky -473
College Football Betting Total: O/U 70.5
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Western Kentucky has secured 13 conference championships, with ten of those being outright victories, and they are determined to add to their tally this year.
The Hilltoppers, with a favorable margin of 11.5 points, are the clear favorites in this double-digit matchup.
These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, South Florida has gone 2-1. However, against the spread Western Kentucky went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 65 points per game.
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South Florida Bulls
Last season, the South Florida Bulls did not play in a bowl game and finished with an overall record of 1-11. At 0-5 in American Athletic action, the Bulls finished in 11th place. In non-conference games, South Florida went 1-6.
South Florida Bulls Stats
At the quarterback position, the Bulls are returning last year’s leading passer, Gerry Bohanon. Last year, he threw for 1070 yards and threw six touchdowns. Overall, he completed 56.9% of his passes and finished with a passer rating of 74.
South Florida’s top returning wide receiver is Sean Atkins, who is coming off a season in which he finished with 238 on 19 receptions. Michel Dukes is South Florida’s top returning rusher with 188 rushing yards last year.
Last season, South Florida’s defense finished 12th in quarterback hurries and 37th in sacks. The team’s secondary ended the season with 6 interceptions and allowed 282 passing yards per contest (168th). Against the run, the Bulls were 175th in rushing yards allowed per game.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are coming off a season in which they finished with an overall record of 9-5 while going 2-0 in Conference USA action. The Hilltoppers ended their season with a 44-23 win over the South Alabama Jaguars in the R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl.
In non-conference play, Western Kentucky went 7-5 last season.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Stats
Austin Reed is the team’s top returning passer after throwing for 4747 last year. For the season, he had 40 passing touchdowns and completed 64.6% of his passes.
In the running game, the Hilltoppers’ leading returning running back is Davion Ervin-Poindexter (redshirt junior) who ran for 526 yards last season. Western Kentucky’s top returning wide receiver is Malachi Corley. The junior caught 101 passes for 1293 yards last season.
The Western Kentucky defense gave up 23.4 passing yards per contest last season, putting them 98th in the nation. Opponents threw the ball an average of 35.6 times per game vs. Western Kentucky.
Overall their secondary was 109th in passing yards allowed (235.6).
On the ground, they were 81st, giving up 148.6 rushing yards per per game.
South Florida Bulls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Bulls are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Hilltoppers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bulls are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Hilltoppers have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bulls’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Hilltoppers’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
South Florida vs. Western Kentucky Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | +430 | +354 | +13.5 | +11.5 |
| Hilltoppers | -600 | -473 | -13.5 | -11.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NCAA Betting Prediction: Western Kentucky -11.5
The Hilltoppers won their last game in the New Orleans Bowl 44-23 over South Alabama. To kick off this season, look for Western Kentucky to not only pick up the win but to cover the spread as 11.5-point favorites.
Even though favorites, covered at a rate of just 46.9% last season, I see still see Western Kentucky covering vs. South Florida.
Their defense will be the difference maker in this one. I like the pass rush and that secondary.
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South Florida Bulls vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Felt good to go through the motions today…
1⃣ week away, Hilltopper Nation. #GoTops | #PackTheHouch pic.twitter.com/64FGBg8LZ9
— WKU Football (@WKUFootball) August 26, 2023
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