Free NCAA Pick: SMU vs. Tulane Odds
Looking for SMU Mustangs vs. Tulane Green Wave free NCAA Week 14 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Mustangs taking on the Green Wave on Saturday, December 2nd at the Yulman Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this SMU Tulane matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
2023 AAC Conference Championship Game
(10-2) SMU Mustangs vs. Tulane Green Wave (11-1)
Date: Saturday, December 2nd
Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
NCAA Week 14 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) SMU +4.5 | Tulane -4.5
Week 14 CFB Moneyline Odds: SMU +154 | Tulane -192
College Football Betting Total: O/U 50.5
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In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Tulane picked up the 59-24 win (last year). The Tulane offense had a big game, putting up 59 points on 451 yards of total offense.
For the game, the Green Wave picked up 20 first downs while going 0/7 on 3rd down. Defensively, they gave up 329 passing yards and 141 yards rushing.
Looking back at a little history between these two schools and we’ll find SMU has an 8-1 advantage since 1982. Tulane’s lone win coming last season of course. Before last season SMU won in Dallas 55-26 on 10/21/21.
The countdown to kickoff begins; get ready for an electrifying AAC Championship game matchup!
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SMU Mustangs
In their most recent game, SMU had no problem taking down Navy, as they went on to win by a score of 59-14.
SMU’s average scoring differential for the season is +24.2 leading to an ATS mark of 7-5. The Mustangs have been favored 10 times and the underdog in two games
Over 12 games, the average over/under line for SMU’s games has been 59.1 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 59.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 6-6.
SMU Mustangs Stats
SMU’s offense has put up an average of 41.8 points per game, placing them 4th in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 292.5 passing yards on average, ranking 17th in the nation.
On the ground, they’re holding the 35th position in rushing yards, with 467 rushing attempts per game this season.
So far this season, the Mustangs’ defense has given up 118.3 rushing yards per game against the run (176th). Opponents are averaging 184.2 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 74.3 against SMU.
In terms of points allowed, they are 96th in the NCAA.
In the passing game, the Mustangs threw the ball 29 times for 369 and three scores against Navy. On the ground, they averaged 3.8 yards per carry and finished with three rushing touchdowns
Tulane Green Wave
In their most recent game, Tulane cruised to 29-16 win over UTSA. Tulane went into the 4th quarter leading by a score of 23-10.
Against the spread, Tulane has gone 5-6 this season. The Green Wave have been favored 10 times compared to one game as the underdog.
Through 12 games, the average over/under line in Tulane’s games is 53.9 points. Their games have averaged a combined 46.2 points leading to an OU record of 2-9.
Tulane Green Wave Stats
Tulane comes into the game with an offense averaging 27.9, which places them at 54th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 71st nationally, with an average of 221.1 passing yards.
In the rushing department, they’re 54th in the nation, with 450 rushing attempts per game for the season.
Through the air, the Green Wave’s attempted 22 passes against UTSA, gaining 125 yards and securing two scores. On the ground, they maintained an average of 5.7 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
The Green Wave defense heads into this week’s matchup with 33 sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries.
So far, they’ve allowed 18.3 points per game (64th). In the pass defense department, they’re 127th nationally, giving up 242.2 passing yards per game.
Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Tulane’s defense is allowing 87.6 rushing yards per contest.
SMU Mustangs vs. Tulane Green Wave NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Mustangs are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Green Wave are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Mustangs are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Green Wave have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Mustangs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Green Wave’s have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
SMU vs. Tulane Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mustangs | +127 | +154 | +3 | +4.5 |
Green Wave | -158 | -191 | -3 | -4.5 |
4* Free AAC Championship NCAA Betting Prediction: Tulane -4.5
Get ready for the 2023 AAC Championship showdown! This time, it’s all about #18 Tulane (11-1, 5-6 ATS) facing off against #24 SMU (10-2, 6-5 ATS) on Saturday, December 2, 2023.
Tulane’s recent victory saw them take down UTSA Roadrunners 29-16, while SMU crushed the Navy Midshipmen with a massive 59-14 win.
The Green Wave heads into this clash as the favored team, boasting a 4-point edge over the Mustangs. Keep an eye on the over/under line, set at 50.5 points.The way to go on the moneyline is to take Tulane. I expect them not only to grab the win win against Tulane but also to cover the spread.
With Tulane excelling in the running game and SMU’s defense struggling against the run vs. UTSA, I’m taking Tulane at -4.5 in this matchup.
Not only does our model have a projected total of 51 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 50.5 is low.
I like SMU and Tulane to exceed 50.5 points. My model calls for 53 (minimum).
I’ve been digging into some college football trends, and it’s clear that Tulane has been on an impressive streak. They’ve won their last 10 games straight, making them a formidable force. On the other hand, SMU games tend to be high-scoring affairs, with the OVER hitting in 5 of their last 6 games.
When Tulane faces SMU, the trend continues, as the total has gone OVER in 8 of their last 10 matchups. Even when playing at home against SMU, Tulane’s games have seen the total points go OVER in 4 of their last 5 meetings.
Moreover, Tulane has dominated within the AAC, winning their last 6 games against conference opponents.
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SMU Mustangs vs. Tulane Green Wave NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Championship Saturday!
The Championship is SET🏆
🏈@SMUFB vs @GreenWaveFB
🏟️ Yulman Stadium
🗓️ December 2
🕓 4:00 pm ET
📺 ABCSee you in New Orleans! #AmericanFB📺 pic.twitter.com/MVOmeszNH3
— The American (@American_Conf) November 25, 2023
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