Free NCAA Pick: SMU vs. TCU Odds
Looking for SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Mustangs taking on the Horned Frogs on Saturday, September 23rd at the Amon G. Carter Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this SMU TCU matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(2-1) SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs (2-1)
Date: Saturday, September 23rd
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium
NCAA Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) SMU +6 | TCU -6
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: SMU +184 | TCU -227
College Football Betting Total: O/U 63.5
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This Saturday, all eyes will be on Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas, as the 2-1 SMU Mustangs clash with the 2-1 TCU Horned Frogs in the much-anticipated battle for the “Iron Skillet.”
Betting enthusiasts should take note of the odds: SMU is coming in at +6, while TCU holds a -6 advantage. The moneyline odds favor TCU at -227, with SMU at +184, and the over/under stands at 63.5.
The Mustangs have impressed with a 2-1 ATS record in 2023, while the Frogs sit at 1-2 ATS.
TCU will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 42-34 win over SMU. When looking at how the two offenses performed in this game, TCU ran for 191 yards while throwing for 296.
As for SMU, they finished with 372 while running for 104.
Notably, TCU holds a historical series lead of 52-42-7 dating back to 1915.
SMU, with a 0-1 record on the road this season, is eager to bounce back after a Week 2 loss in Oklahoma. On the other hand, TCU, with a 1-1 home record, aims to recover from a season home opener defeat to Colorado.
SMU has recently displayed dominance, winning two of the last three contests against TCU, both in Fort Worth.
Stay tuned to our College football handicapping blog for insightful analysis of this thrilling clash!
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SMU Mustangs
In the Mustangs’ 69-0 win over Prairie View A&M, the Mustangs jumped out to an early 14-0 in the first quarter. After that it was all gravy.
Against the spread, SMU has gone 2-1 this season. The Mustangs have been favored one time compared to two games as the underdog.
The average point total in SMU’s three games is currently 53.3 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 1-2 for the Mustangs.
SMU Mustangs Stats
SMU’s offense has put up an average of 39.3 points per game, placing them 21st in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 295.7 passing yards on average, ranking 28th in the nation.
On the ground, they’re holding the 58th position in rushing yards, with 114 rushing attempts per game this season.
This season, the Mustangs’ defense has allowed 103.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 149th. Opponents average 159.7 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 87.4 against SMU.
They hold the 64th position in NCAA points allowed.
The Mustangs’ passing game featured 26 pass attempts for 389 yards and seven scores vs. Prairie View A&M.
In the rushing department, they averaged 4.5 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
TCU Horned Frogs
In their most recent game, TCU matched up with Houston and came out on top with a 36-13 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, TCU held a 12-point lead.
TCU’s record vs. the spread this season is a perfect 2-0. So far, they have been the underdog in all three of their games and have a scoring differential of +18.
TCU has put together an over/under record of 1-1 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 61 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 63.5 points.
TCU Horned Frogs Stats
TCU comes into the game with an offense averaging 39.7, which places them at 20th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 25th nationally, with an average of 302 passing yards.
In the rushing department, they’re 21st in the nation, with 125 rushing attempts per game for the season.
In the passing game, the Horned Frogs threw the ball 37 times for 314 and two scores against Houston. On the ground, they averaged 4.9 yards per carry and finished with two rushing touchdowns
In terms of passing yards allowed per game, TCU’s defense is ranked 29th.
Opponents, on average, attempt 39.3 passes against the Horned Frogs. They are allowing 21.3 PPG, which places them 40th in college football.
Their rush defense ranks 11th in the NCAA.
SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Mustangs are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Horned Frogs are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Mustangs are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Horned Frogs have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Mustangs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Horned Frogs’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
SMU vs. TCU Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustangs | +175 | +196 | +6 | +6.5 |
| Horned Frogs | -215 | -247 | -6 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: SMU +6
SMU’s pass defense did a good job slowing down Prairie View A&M in their most recent game. Even though though they are 6-point underdogs on the road.
I just can’t get past the fact that SMU are 2-18 in their last 20 games against an opponent in the Big 12. It keeps me from thinking they can win this outright. BUT, I do think they’ll have the horses to slug it out with TCU.
Preston Stone has led the Mustangs to the 25th best passing offense in the nation, while TCU’s secondary has struggled significantly.
I like SMU to cover on Saturday.
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SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Skillet week. Act accordingly. #PonyUpDallas pic.twitter.com/maK3m1ms4y
— SMU FOOTBALL (@SMUFB) September 21, 2023
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