Matthew Lowrimore – Last Updated on January 25, 2023 3:41 pm
Free Week 13 Prediction: Mustangs vs Midshipmen Odds
Looking for SMU Mustangs vs. Navy Midshipmen free picks? Week 13 betting sees the Mustangs taking on the Midshipmen Saturday, November 23rd at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this SMU Navy Week 13 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 13
(9-1) SMU Mustangs vs. Navy Midshipmen (7-2)
Date: Saturday, November 23rd, 2019
Time: 3:30 pm EST
Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Maryland
NCAA Football Spread: Navy -3.5
NCAA Betting Total: 66
Click here to view… CFB ATS Stats & NCAAF Betting Insight for this game!
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This American Athletic matchup will see the SMU Mustangs travel to Annapolis to take on the Navy Midshipmen.
Last season the Mustangs won the meeting with the Midshipmen 31-30
SMU Mustangs
The Mustangs are coming off their bye and will have had plenty of time to prepare for this run heavy Navy offense. They are still trying to represent the AAC West and need to win out plus have Memphis lose one more.
They barely beat ECU last time out 59-51, but this also was off their only loss, so it makes sense that they did not play their best game.
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The offense for SMU has clearly been their strength this season. They come into this game averaging 45.1 points per game. This is 6th best in the country. They also rank 6th in total yards per game and 7th in passing yards per game. Even their rush offense is solid, ranking 36th in the country.
SMU is led by quarterback, Shane Buechele. He has thrown for 3,195 yards this season, 28 touchdowns and just 8 interceptions.
Unlike the offense, the SMU defense is horrible. They are allowing 32.7 points per game, 104th in the country. They are especially bad against the pass, ranking 124th in the country.
Luckily for the Mustangs, their rushing defense is very solid. They allow an average of 124.3 yards per game on the ground, the 29th best in FBS football. Considering Navy only runs the ball, the Mustangs should have some success slowing them down.
Navy Midshipmen
Navy got completely outclassed last week when they went to South Bend and got kicked in the mouth by the Fighting Irish. The final score to this game was 52-20 and the Midshipmen never even had a chance.
They are still tied for first in the AAC, but having lost to Memphis, they do not own that tie breaker. That makes this a must win if they are going to remain in the hunt to play for an AAC title.
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As we know, the Navy offense is solely based on their ability to run the football. they come into this game averaging 349.7 rushing yards per game. This is clearly the best in the country. They are led by their quarterback, Malcolm Perry, who has 1,159 yards rushing an 16 touchdowns.
Their defense has overall been solid until last week against Notre Dame. They allowed the Fighting Irish to throw for 305 yards. SMU has an explosive passing attack, so this will be the main key in stopping the Mustangs.
Navy tends to play much better defensively at home, allowing 16.6 points per game in their own stadium. Against AAC foes at home, the Midshipmen allow 17 points per game, so virtually not difference.
The last time Navy faced a top 20 passing offense this season was against Memphis. They lost that game, so slowing down Buechele is a must to keeping it close with SMU.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Southern Methodist are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
Free Week 13 NCAA Football Pick
We just saw what Notre Dame was able to do to Navy through the air and I expect SMU to do more of the same. I like the Mustangs off their bye to pull the small upset.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: SMU Mustangs +3.5
Ultimately, I believe SMU’s passing offense is going to prove to be too much. I like the Mustangs to at the very least keep this game inside a field goal, so I will take the points.
Week 13 Free Score Prediction: SMU 31 – Navy 28
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