Free NCAA Pick: SMU vs. Louisville Odds
Looking for SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals free NCAA Week 6 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Mustangs taking on the Cardinals on Saturday, October 5th at the L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 6 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this SMU Louisville matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 6
(4-1) SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals (3-1)
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, KY
Week 6 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) SMU +7 | Louisville -7
Week 6 CFB Moneyline Odds: SMU +211 | Louisville -259
College Football Betting Total: O/U 57
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It’s a clash decades in the making! SMU and Louisville are finally squaring off again, and the stakes couldn’t be higher—first place in the ACC is up for grabs! Yes, you read that right: SMU is a brand new member of the ACC, and they’re already stirring the pot. These teams haven’t seen each other since 1984—before the internet existed, if you can believe that. Oh, and in case you’re curious, SMU leads the series 2-0. Not exactly a brag-worthy stat after 40 years, but here we are.
Now, let’s talk smack: SMU’s biggest win over Louisville came in ’84 with a blowout 41-7 victory. You think Louisville’s forgotten that? Nope. They’ll be out for revenge, especially with a shot at sharing first place on the line.
Both teams are hungry. Both teams want to make a statement. The question is, who will come out on top in this battle of conference climbers?
ESPN will be covering the week six matchup between the SMU Mustangs and Louisville Cardinals, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium in Louisville.
The Cardinals are the -7-point favorites at home, and the over/under line is currently at 57 points.
Both teams are coming into this game with just one loss, as SMU is 4-1 and Louisville is 3-1 on the season.
One thing’s for sure—this game is going to be electric, and the ACC landscape is about to get a whole lot more interesting. Buckle up!
SMU Mustangs
SMU enters Week 6 with a 4-1 record, ranked 19th in our power rankings. They have a 99.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and an 11.3% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. Nationally, they have the 23rd best odds to make the playoff at 13.2%.
The Mustangs have been favored in three of their five games this season, going 2-1 as the favorite. They hold a +20.8 average scoring margin and are 2-2 against the spread.
SMU’s over/under record is 2-2, with their games averaging 63.6 points. Their average over/under line is 54.1, and this week’s line is set at 57 points.
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SMU Mustangs Stats
SMU’s offense is averaging 42.2 points per game, placing them 12th in the nation as they head into week 6. Their rushing attack is the focal point, ranking 7th in attempts with 41.6 per game and 14th in rushing yards, averaging 217.2 yards per game. Brashard Smith leads the ground game with 506 yards, seven touchdowns, and an impressive 7 yards per carry.
Quarterback Kevin Jennings has thrown for 733 yards, completing 63.4% of his passes, with six touchdowns and one interception. His passer rating is 104. SMU ranks 47th in passing attempts nationally. Jake Bailey leads the receivers with 170 yards and one touchdown. SMU is converting 46.4% of their third downs.
SMU’s defense played a crucial role in their recent 42-16 win over Florida State, forcing three interceptions and allowing just 16 points. They held the Seminoles to 13 first downs and 73 rushing yards on 25 carries, while giving up 222 passing yards.
On the season, SMU ranks 20th nationally in rushing defense, allowing just 91.6 yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 68 against SMU, completing only 50.5% of their throws, which ranks 13th-lowest in the country.
Louisville Cardinals
Louisville enters Week 6 against SMU with a 3-1 record and a 2-0 mark at home. They are ranked 12th in our power rankings and have a 96.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. Louisville also has a 17.7% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast and a 22.5% shot at making the CFB playoff.
The Cardinals are 2-0 as the favorite and 0-1 as the underdog, with an average scoring margin of +25.5 points per game. They are 2-1 against the spread, covering both home games but failing to cover on the road.
Louisville’s over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 57.5 points. The average over/under line this season is 52.7 points, and this week’s line is set at 57 points.
Louisville Cardinals Stats
Louisville’s offense ranks 21st in our college football offensive power rankings heading into week 6, and they are 16th in points per game, scoring 41.5. Quarterback Tyler Shough has thrown for 1,114 yards with a passer rating of 123, leading the Cardinals to the 11th-best passer rating in the nation. He has thrown 11 touchdowns with just one interception, completing 65% of his passes.
Louisville is averaging 297 passing yards per game, ranking 40th nationally. Ja’Corey Brooks has 368 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 22 catches. The Cardinals are averaging 190.8 rushing yards per game.
Despite allowing 31 points in their recent 31-24 loss to Notre Dame, Louisville’s defense gave up just 283 total yards, including 120 rushing yards on 29 attempts and 163 passing yards. They also allowed two passing touchdowns in the game.
On the season, Louisville’s defense ranks 15th nationally, giving up just 16 points per game. They are 25th in the country against the run, allowing only 95.5 rushing yards per game, and 39th in passing yards allowed, giving up 176.8 yards per game through the air.
SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The SMU Mustangs are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Louisville Cardinals are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the SMU Mustangs are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Louisville Cardinals have gone 2-8 across their last ten home games.
- Over the SMU Mustangs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Louisville Cardinals’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 6 NCAA Betting Prediction: Louisville -7
Our projections have Louisville winning this matchup 30-17 as -7 point favorites at home. If you are looking to bet against the spread, we recommend taking Louisville to cover the -7 point spread.
For the over/under, with the line set at 57 points, our projection of 47 combined points suggests that taking the under is the best play.
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SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Week 4 ✔️#GoCards x #ProCards pic.twitter.com/83FjJCoFI9
— Louisville Football (@LouisvilleFB) October 1, 2024
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